Oscar Predictions via Feinberg Forecast: Updated Post Venice and Telluride, as TIFF Gets Underway
A NOTE FROM SCOTT Since my first forecast of the season posted on Sept. 2, the 83rd Venice Film Festival and the 53rd Telluride Film Festival have come and gone, and the 51st Toronto International Film Festival has kicked off, so there has been significant movement on the charts. To recap some recent developments…
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Venice enthusiastically embraced the world premieres of the disturbing Gaza documentary NAZA (a record 25 minutes), the Javier Bardem/Penélope Cruz reunion Bunker (16 minutes), Martin McDonagh’s eccentric dramedy Wild Horse Nine (14 minutes), the To Catch a Predator dramatization Primetime (9-minute standing ovation) and Lee Chang-dong’s Possible Love (6 minutes). The fest’s Maggie Gyllenhaal-led jury will announce its prize winners later today.
Telluride also flipped for Wild Horse Nine, as well as for the world premieres of the unusual documentary You Can See Everything (a surprise screening at the fest), the Julianne Moore showcase The Debut and the Andrew Scott and Carrie Coon vehicles Elsinore and The Liberation, respectively. Additionally, Cannes carryovers La Bola Negra and Club Kid played through the roof in their North American bows, as did Rose, for which Sandra Hüller won the best actress prize in Berlin.
The opening weekend at TIFF has been somewhat muted, presumably in part because of the fest’s unofficial policy of not programming in its first few days films that played at Venice or Telluride. Thursday, the fest’s opening night, featured the world premieres of Being Heumann (THR review), Sian Heder’s follow-up to best picture Oscar winner CODA, and The Housewife (THR review), starring Naomi Watts, both of which were received warmly.
A highlight of TIFF’s Friday was the return of Obsession, which premiered in the fest’s Midnight Madness section a year ago en route to massive commercial success and considerable Oscar buzz this year. Director Curry Barker, 26, and star Inde Navarrette, 25, participated in a charming and insightful TIFF Dialogue before screening their film again, the first of several upcoming stops for the two — together and separate — on behalf of the film’s little-engine-that-could awards campaign.
Saturday night brings the highly-anticipated unveiling of I Play Rocky, which Amazon/MGM surely hopes can retrace the path of an earlier Peter Farrelly movie that premiered at TIFF en route to winning the fest’s audience award and several Oscars, including best picture: Green Book.
A friendly reminder that the Feinberg Forecast aims to project what will happen, not to advocate for what should, and does not rank films that its namesake has not seen or that remain under embargo.
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Best Picture
Frontrunners
1. The Odyssey (Universal, July 17, THR review) — Christopher Nolan & Emma Thomas
2. Wild Horse Nine (Searchlight, Nov. 6, THR review) — Graham Broadbent, Pete Czernin, Martin McDonagh & Anita Overland VENI, TELL, TIFF, LOND
3. Project Hail Mary (Amazon/MGM, March 20, THR review) — Ryan Gosling, Phil Lord, Chris Miller, Rachel O’Connor, Amy Pascal, Aditya Sood & Andy Weir
4. La Bola Negra (Netflix, Oct. 16, THR review) — Javier Ambrossi & Javier Calvo CANN, TELL, TIFF, NYFF, LOND
5. Club Kid (A24, Nov. 6, THR review) — Alex Coco, Galen Core & Ryan Heller CANN, TELL, TIFF, NYFF, LOND
6. The Invite (A24, June 26, THR review) — Ben Browning, Megan Ellison & David Permut SUND
7. Fjord (Neon, Oct. 9, THR review) — Dyveke Bkørkly Graver, Cristian Mungiu, Andrea Berentsen Ottmar & Tudor Reu CANN, KARL, TELL, TIFF, NYFF
8. You Can See Everything (A24, Oct. 16, THR review) — Nathan Fielder & Lance Oppenheim TELL, NYFF
9. Obsession (Focus, May 15, THR review) — James Harris, Haley Nicole Johnson, Christian Mercuri & Roman Viaris-de-Lesegno TIFF
10. Elsinore (Focus, Nov. 20, THR review) — Carolyn Marks Blackwood, Mickey Liddell, Stefano Massenzi, Andrea Occhipinti, Andrew Scott, Pete Shilaimon & Gabrielle Tana TELL, TIFF, LONDMajor Threats
11. Tender Loving Care (Bleecker Street, Dec. 4, THR review) — Georgina Lowe TELL, TIFF, NYFF, LOND
12. The Debut (A24, Dec. 11, THR review) — Jesse Eisenberg, Ali Herting, Dave McNary & Emma Stone TELL, TIFF, NYFF, LOND
13. Michael (Lionsgate, 4/24, THR review) — John Branca, Graham King & John McClain
14. Toy Story 5 (Disney/Pixar, June 19, THR review) — Jessica Choi & Lindsey Collins
15. All of a Sudden (Neon, Nov. 25, THR review) — Renan Artukmaç, Bettina Brokemper, Julien Deris, David Gauquié, Hiroko Matsuda, Jean-Luc Ormières, Kôsuke Oshida, Joseph Rouschop & Yûji Sadai CANN, KARL, TIFF, NYFF, LOND
16. Ink (Netflix, Dec. 11, THR review) — Danny Boyle, Michael Ellenberg, Tessa Ross & Tracey Seaward VENI, TELL, TIFF, LONDPossibilities
17. Paper Tiger (Neon, Nov. 13, THR review) — James Gray, Anthony Katagas & Rodrigo Teixeira CANN, KARL, NYFF, LOND
18. Minotaur (MUBI, Nov. 20, THR review) — Charles Gillibert & Andrei Zvyagintsev CANN, TELL, TIFF, NYFF, LOND
19. Fatherland (MUBI, Oct. 23, THR review) — Edward Berger, Lorenzo Gangarossa, Mario Gianani, Lorenzo Mieli, Ewa Puszczyńska, Dimitri Rassam & Jeanne Tremsal CANN, KARL, TELL, NYFF, LOND
20. Sense and Sensibility (Focus, Oct. 16) — Tim Bevan, Eric Fellner, India Flint & Jo Wallet
21. Rose (MUBI, TBD, THR review) BERL, KARL, TELL, NYFF, LONDLong Shots
22. Tuner (Black Bear, 5/22, THR review) — Michael Heimler, Teddy Schwarzman, JoAnne Sellar & Lila Yacoub TIFF, SUND
23. Bunker (Sony Classics, Dec. 10, THR review) — Fernando Bovaira, Alice Dawson, Federica Sainte-Rose & Simón de Santiago VENI, TIFF
24. Being Heumann (Apple, Nov. 6, THR review) — John W. Beach, Kevin Cleary, Sian Heder, David Permut & Kevin Walsh TIFF, LOND
25. Coward (MUBI, Dec. 25, THR review) — Michiel Dhont CANN, KARL, TIFF, LOND
26. The Mosquito Bowl (Netflix, Oct. 30) — Peter Berg, Alex Gayner & Brian Grazer
27. Josephine (Sumerian, Nov. 20, THR review) — Jesse Hope, Josh Peters & Max Walker-Silverman SUND, BERL, LONDStill to See or Under Embargo
Artificial (Neon, TBD) — Jeffrey Clifford, Jennifer Fox, Luca Guadagnino, David Heyman & Simon Rich NYFF, LOND
Behemoth! (Searchlight, Dec. 4) — John Gilroy, Tony Gilroy & Sanne Wohlenberg NYFF, LOND
DIGGER (Warner Bros., Oct. 2) — Tom Cruise, Alejandro González Iñarritu & Mary Parent
Dune: Part Three (Warner Bros., Dec. 18) — Cale Boyter, Tanya Lapointe, Patrick McCormick, Mary Parent & Denis Villeneuve
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth (Netflix, Nov. 25) — Ceán Chaffin, David Heyman, Brad Pitt & Quentin Tarantino
Heart of the Beast (Paramount, Sept. 25) — David Ayer, Marty Bowen, Olivia Hamilton & Brad Pitt
I Play Rocky (Amazon/MGM, Nov. 13) — Christian Baha, Toby Emmerich & Peter Farrelly TIFF
Madden (Amazon/MGM, Nov. 18) — Todd Black, Jason Blumenthal, Matthew Budman, David O. Russell, Jonathan Shukat, Steve Tisch & Colin Wilson
Mr. Irrelevant (Paramount, Dec. 25) — Gillian Bohrer, David Ellison, Dana Goldberg, Don Granger, Jonathan Levine & Nick Santora
Possible Love (Netflix, Oct. 23, THR review) — Lee Joon-dong, David Levine & Chadwick Prichard VENI, TIFF, NYFF, LOND
The Social Reckoning (Sony, Oct. 9) — Stuart M. Besser, Todd Black, Peter Rice & Aaron Sorkin
Werwulf (Focus, Dec. 25) — Tim Bevan, Garrett Bird, Robert Eggers, Eric Fellner & Sjón Sigurdsson
Wildwood (Laika, Oct. 23) — Travis Knight LOND, AFI -
Best Director
Frontrunners
1. Christopher Nolan for The Odyssey (Universal)
2. Martin McDonagh for Wild Horse Nine (Searchlight)
3. Phil Lord and Chris Miller for Project Hail Mary (Amazon/MGM)
4. Javier Ambrossi & Javier Calvo for La Bola Negra (Netflix)
5. Olivia Wilde for The Invite (A24) — podcastMajor Threats
6. Mike Leigh for Tender Loving Care (Bleecker Street) — podcast
7. Curry Barker for Obsession (Focus)
8. Cristian Mungiu for Fjord (Neon)
9. Pawel Pawlikowski for Fatherland (Neon)
10. Andrey Zvyagintsev for Minotaur (MUBI)Possibilities
11. Ryusuke Hamaguchi for All of a Sudden (Neon)
12. Jesse Eisenberg for The Debut (A24) — podcast
13. Jordan Firstman for Club Kid (A24)
14. Nathan Fielder & Lance Oppenheim for You Can See Everything (A24)
15. Danny Boyle for Ink (Netflix) — podcastLong Shots
16. James Gray for Paper Tiger (Neon) — podcast
17. Lukas Dhont for Coward (MUBI)
18. Andrew Stanton for Toy Story 5 (Disney/Pixar)
19. Peter Berg for The Mosquito Bowl (Netflix)
20. Beth de Araújo for Josephine (Sumerian)Still to See or Under Embargo
David Ayer for Heart of the Beast (Paramount)
Lee Chang-dong for Possible Love (Netflix)
Robert Eggers for Werwulf (Focus)
Peter Farrelly for I Play Rocky (Amazon/MGM)
David Fincher for The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth (Netflix)
Tony Gilroy for Behemoth! (Searchlight)
Luca Guadagnino for Artificial (Neon)
Alejandro González Iñarritu for DIGGER (Warner Bros.) — podcast 1 and 2
Jonathan Levine for Mr. Irrelevant (Paramount)
David O. Russell for Madden (Amazon/MGM)
Aaron Sorkin for The Social Reckoning (Sony) — podcast
Denis Villeneuve for Dune: Part Three (Warner Bros.) — podcast -
Best Actor
Frontrunners
1. John Malkovich for Wild Horse Nine (Searchlight)
2. Andrew Scott for Elsinore (Focus)
3. Ryan Gosling for Project Hail Mary (Prime Video)
4. Matt Damon for The Odyssey (Universal)
5. John Turturro for The Only Living Pickpocket in New York (Sony Classics) — podcastMajor Threats
6. Jaafar Jackson for Michael (Lionsgate)
7. Sebastian Stan for Fjord (Neon) — podcast
8. Jordan Firstman for Club Kid (A24)
9. Robert Pattinson for Primetime (A24) — podcast
10. Jack O’Connell for Ink (Netflix)
11. Miles Teller for Paper Tiger (Neon) — podcastPossibilities
12. Willem Dafoe for Late Fame (Magnolia) — podcast
13. Leo Woodall for Tuner (Black Bear)
14. Robert Aramayo for I Swear (Sony Classics)
15. Javier Bardem for Bunker (Sony Classics) — podcast
16. Javier Bardem for The Beloved (Kino Lorber) — podcast
17. Dominic Sessa for Tony (A24)Long Shots
18. Dmitriy Mazurov for Minotaur (MUBI)
19. Hanns Zischler for Fatherland (MUBI)
20. Matthew McConaughey for The Rivals of Amziah King (Black Bear) — podcast
21. Chiwetel Ejiofor for Backrooms (A24)
22. Seth Rogen for The Invite (A24) — podcast 1 and 2
23. Josh O’Connor for Disclosure Day (Universal)Still to See or Under Embargo
Yura Borisov for Artificial (Neon)
Nicolas Cage for Madden (Amazon/MGM) — podcast
Timothée Chalamet for Dune: Part Three (Warner Bros.) — podcast
David Corenswet for Mr. Irrelevant (Paramount)
Tom Cruise for DIGGER (Warner Bros.)
Johnny Depp for Ebenezer (Paramount)
Alden Ehrenreich for A Talent for Murder (Bleecker Street)
Ethan Hawke for The Weight (Vertical) — podcast
Anthony Ippolito for I Play Rocky (Amazon/MGM)
Ian McKellen for The Christophers (Neon) — podcast
Pedro Pascal for Behemoth! (Searchlight)
Brad Pitt for The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth (Netflix)
Brad Pitt for Heart of the Beast (Paramount)
Jeremy Strong for The Social Reckoning (Sony) — podcast
Aaron Taylor-Johnson for Werwulf (Focus) -
Best Actress
Frontrunners
1. Julianne Moore for The Debut (A24) — podcast
2. Carrie Coon for The Liberation (Bleecker Street)
3. Inde Navarrette for Obsession (Focus)
4. Sandra Hüller for Rose (MUBI) — podcast
5. Virginie Efira for All of a Sudden (Neon)Major Threats
6. Kate O’Flynn for Tender Loving Care (Bleecker Street)
7. Renate Reinsve for Fjord (Neon)
8. Léa Seydoux for Gentle Monster (Netflix) — podcast
9. Penélope Cruz for Bunker (Sony Classics) — podcast
10. Olivia Wilde for The Invite (A24) — podcast
11. Sandra Hüller for Fatherland (MUBI) — podcastPossibilities
12. Emily Blunt for Disclosure Day (Universal) — podcast
13. Daisy Edgar-Jones for Sense and Sensibility (Focus)
14. Ruth Madeley for Being Heumann (Apple)
15. Zendaya for The Drama (A24) — podcast
16. Naomi Watts for The Housewife (Neon)Long Shots
17. Sarah Paulson for Closing Night (still seeking U.S. distribution)
18. Meryl Streep for The Devil Wears Prada 2 (20th Century) — podcast
19. Sophie Okonedo for Clarissa (Neon)
20. Rinko Kikuchi for Ha-Chan, Shake Your Booty! (Sony Classics)
21. Mason Reeves for Josephine (Sumerian)Still to See or Under Embargo
Hiam Abbass for Atonement (Kino Lorber)
Moon Choi for Bedford Park (Sony Classics)
Michaela Coel for The Christophers (Neon)
Jeon Do-yeon for Possible Love (Netflix)
Rosalind Eleazar for Misty Green (A24)
Cynthia Erivo for Prima Facie (still seeking U.S. distribution) — podcast
Dakota Johnson for Verity (Amazon/MGM) — podcast
Katherine Mallen Kupferer for Mouse (IFC)
Barbara Lennie for Bitter Christmas (Sony Classics)
Mikey Madison for The Social Reckoning (Columbia) — podcast
Kate Mara for Bucking Fastard (still seeking U.S. distribution)
Rooney Mara for Bucking Fastard (still seeking U.S. distribution)
Rachel McAdams for Send Help (20th Century)
Keke Palmer for I Love Boosters (Neon)
Kara Young for Is God Is (Amazon/MGM) -
Best Supporting Actor
Frontrunners
1. Sam Rockwell for Wild Horse Nine (Searchlight) — podcast 1 and 2
2. Paul Giamatti for The Debut (A24) — podcast
3. Adam Driver for Paper Tiger (Neon) — podcast
4. John Leguizamo for The Odyssey (Universal)
5. Robert Pattinson for The Odyssey (Universal) — podcastMajor Threats
6. Colman Domingo for Michael (Lionsgate) — podcast
7. Guitarricadelafuente for La Bola Negra (Netflix)
8. Edward Norton for The Invite (A24) — podcast
9. Steve Buscemi for Wild Horse Nine (Searchlight)
10. Guy Pearce for Ink (Netflix) — podcast
11. Tom Holland for The Odyssey (Universal)Possibilities
12. Miguel Bernardeau for La Bola Negra (Netflix)
13. Carlos Gonzalez for La Bola Negra (Netflix)
14. Skyler Gisondo for Primetime (A24)
15. James Ortiz for Project Hail Mary (Amazon/MGM)
16. Antonio Banderas for Tony (A24)Long Shots
17. Dustin Hoffman for Tuner (Black Bear)
18. Diego Calva for Club Kid (A24)
19. Channing Tatum for Josephine (Sumerian) — podcast
20. Paul Jesson for Tender Loving Care (Bleecker Street)
21. Ray Nicholson for The Mosquito Bowl (Netflix)Still to See or Under Embargo
Riz Ahmed for DIGGER (Warner Bros.) — podcast
Will Arnett for Behemoth! (Searchlight)
Christian Bale for Madden (Amazon/MGM)
Ike Barinholtz for Artifical (Neon)
Scott Caan for The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth (Netflix)
Tom Courtenay for Queen at Sea (Greenwich)
Willem Dafoe for Werwulf (Foucs) — podcast
Matt Dillon for I Play Rocky (Amazon/MGM)
Andrew Garfield for Artificial (Neon) — podcast
John Goodman for DIGGER (Warner Bros.)
Stephan James for I Play Rocky (Amazon/MGM) — podcast
Jesse Plemons for DIGGER (Warner Bros.) — podcast
Mark Rylance for Artifical (Neon)
Jeremy Allen White for The Social Reckoning (Sony) — podcast -
Best Supporting Actress
Frontrunners
1. Sandra Hüller for Project Hail Mary (Amazon/MGM) — podcast
2. Anne Hathaway for The Odyssey (Universal)
3. Scarlett Johansson for Paper Tiger (Neon)
4. Mariana di Girolamo for Wild Horse Nine (Searchlight)
5. Penélope Cruz for La Bola Negra (Netflix) — podcastMajor Threats
6. Penélope Cruz for The Invite (A24) — podcast
7. [redacted] for You Can See Everything (A24)
8. Alice Bailey Johnson for Tender Loving Care (Bleecker Street)
9. Samantha Morton in The Odyssey (Universal)
10. Esme Creed-Miles for Sense and Sensibility (Focus)
11. Lola Dueñas for La Bola Negra (Netflix)
12. Olivia Colman for Elsinore (Focus) — podcastPossibilities
13. Lily James for The Liberation (Bleecker Street) — podcast
14. Bella Ramsey for The Liberation (Bleecker Street)
15. Tao Okamoto for All of a Sudden (Neon)
16. Gemma Chan for Josephine (Sumerian)
17. Marion Bailey for Tender Loving Care (Bleecker Street)
18. Colleen Camp for Club Kid (A24)Long Shots
19. Claire Foy for Ink (Netflix) — podcast
20. Greta Lee for Late Fame (Magnolia)
21. Alana Haim for The Drama (A24)
22. Emilia Jones for Tony (A24) — podcast
23. Renate Reinsve for Backrooms (A24)
24. Merritt Wever for Primetime (A24)Still to See or Under Embargo
Monica Barbaro for Artifical (Neon)
Elizabeth Debicki for The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth (Netflix)
Lily-Rose Depp for Werwulf (Focus)
Kathryn Hahn for Madden (Amazon/MGM) — podcast
Rebecca Hall for The Man I Love (still seeking U.S. distribution)
Sandra Hüller for DIGGER (Warner Bros.) — podcast
Tara Mallen for Mouse (IFC)
Wunmi Mosaku for The Social Reckoning (Sony)
Sophie Okonedo for Mouse (IFC)
AnnaSophia Robb for I Play Rocky (Amazon/MGM)
Eva Victor for Behemoth! (Searchlight) -
Best Adapted Screenplay
Frontrunners
1. Project Hail Mary (Amazon) — Drew Goddard
2. The Invite (A24) — Rashida Jones & Will McCormack
3. La Bola Negra (Netflix) — Javier Ambrossi, Javier Calvo & Alberto Conejero
4. The Odyssey (Universal) — Christopher Nolan
5. Ink (Netflix) — James GrahamMajor Threats
6. Toy Story 5 (Disney/Pixar) — Kenna Harris & Andrew Stanton
7. Minotaur (MUBI) — Simon Lyashenko & Andrey Zvyagintsev
8. All of a Sudden (Neon) — Ryusuke Hamaguchi & Léa Le Dimna
9. Sense and Sensibility (Focus) — Diana Reid
10. Late Fame (Magnolia) — Samy BurchPossibilities
11. The Mosquito Bowl (Netflix) — Buzz Bissinger
12. Tony (A24) — Todd Bartels, Lou Howe, Matt Johnson & Matthew Miller
13. Being Heumann (Apple) — Sian Heder & Rebekah Taussig
14. Pressure (Focus) — David Haig & Anthony MarasLong Shots
15. Backrooms (A24) — Kane Parsons & Will Soodik
16. Wuthering Heights (Warner Bros.) — Emerald Fennell — podcast
17. Clarissa (Neon) — Chuko Esiri
18. Primetime (A24) — Ajon SinghStill to See or Under Embargo
Dune: Part Three (Warner Bros.) — Brian K. Vaughan & Denis Villeneuve — podcast [Villeneuve]
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth (Netflix) — Quentin Tarantino — podcast
I Play Rocky (Amazon/MGM) — Peter Gamble Robinson
The Social Reckoning (Sony) — Aaron Sorkin — podcast
Wildwood (Laika) — Chris Butler -
Best Original Screenplay
Frontrunners
1. Wild Horse Nine (Searchlight) — Martin McDonagh
2. Tender Loving Care (Bleecker Street) — Mike Leigh — podcast
3. Club Kid (A24) — Jordan Firstman
4. Fjord (Neon) — Cristian Mungiu
5. Obsession (Focus) — Curry BarkerMajor Threats
6. The Debut (A24) — Jesse Eisenberg — podcast
7. Paper Tiger (Neon) — James Gray — podcast
8. The Only Living Pickpocket in New York (Sony Classics) — Noah Segan
9. Elsinore (Focus) — Stephen Beresford
10. Fatherland (MUBI) — Henk Handloegten & Paweł PawlikowskiPossibilities
11. Tuner (Black Bear) — Robert Ramsey & Daniel Roher
12. Michael (Lionsgate) — John Logan
13. The Liberation (Bleecker Street) — Noa Berman-Herzberg & Guy Nattiv
14. Ray Gunn (Netflix) — Brad Bird & Matthew RobbinsLong Shots
15. Coward (MUBI) — Lukas Dhont & Angelo Tijssens
16. Josephine (Sumerian) — Beth de Araújo
17. The Drama (A24) — Kristoffer Borgli
18. Ha-Chan, Shake Your Booty! (Sony Classics) — Nicholas Huynh & Josef Kubota WladykaStill to See or Under Embargo
Artificial (Neon) — Simon Rich
Behemoth! (Searchlight) — Tony Gilroy
Bitter Christmas (Sony Classics) — Pedro Almodóvar — podcast
The Christophers (Neon) — Ed Solomon
DIGGER (Warner Bros.) — Sabina Berman, Alexander Dinelaris, Nicolás Giacobone & Alejandro González Iñarritu — podcast 1 and 2 (Iñárritu)
I Love Boosters (Neon) — Boots Riley
Madden (Amazon/MGM) — Cambron Clark & David O. Russell
Misty Green (A24) — Chris Rock
Mouse (IFC) — Kelly O’Sullivan
Possible Love (Netflix) — Lee Chang-dong & Oh Jung-mi
Werwulf (Focus) — Robert Eggers & Sjón -
Best International Feature
*confirmed submission
Frontrunners
1. Spain — La Bola Negra (Netflix, Oct. 16, THR review) CANN, TELL, TIFF, NYFF, LOND
2. *Romania/Automatic entry via Cannes Film Festival’s Palme d’Or — Fjord (Neon, Oct. 9, THR review) CANN, KARL, TELL, TIFF, NYFF, LOND
3. *Japan — All of a Sudden (Neon, Nov. 25, THR review) CANN, KARL, TIFF, NYFF, LOND
4. France — Minotaur (MUBI, Nov. 20, THR review) CANN, TELL, TIFF, NYFF, LOND
5. *Austria — Rose (MUBI, TBD, THR review) BERL, KARL, TELL, NYFF, LONDMajor Threats
6. Poland — Fatherland (MUBI, Oct. 23, THR review) CANN, KARL, TELL, NYFF, LOND
7. *Belgium — Coward (MUBI, Dec. 25, THR review) CANN, KARL, TIFF, LOND
8. Spain — The Beloved (Kino Lorber, TBD, THR review) CANN, KARL, TIFF, LONDStill to See or Under Embargo
*Automatic entry via Berlin Film Festival’s Golden Bear — Yellow Letters (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD, THR review) BERL, KARL
*Automatic entry via Sundance Film Festival’s World Cinema Grand Jury Prize (Dramatic) — Shame and Money (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD, THR review) SUND
*Armenia — In the Land of Arto (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) LOCA (’25)
*Australia — First Light (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD)
*Bolivia — The Condor Daughter (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) TIFF (’25)
*Cambodia — Becoming Human (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) VENI (’25), LOND (’25)
*Canada — Nina Roza (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD, THR review) BERL
*Chile — The Meltdown (Kino Lorber, TBD, THR review) CANN
*Colombia — Rains Over Babel (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) SUND (’25)
*Croatia — God Will Not Help (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) LOCA (’25)
*Cyprus — Hold onto Me (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) SUND
*Czech Republic — If Pigeons Turned to Gold (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) BERL, KARL
*Dominican Republic — Melodrama (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD)
*Ecuador — The Ivy (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) VENI (’25)
*Estonia — Our Erika (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD)
*Finland — The Squirrel (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD)
France — La Gradiva (1-2 Special, Dec. 18, THR review) TIFF, NYFF, LOND
France — The Unknown (Neon, TBD, THR review) CANN, KARL, TELL, TIFF, NYFF, LOND
*Georgia — Guria (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) VENI
*Germany — Everytime (1-2 Special, TBD, THR review) CANN, TIFF, NYFF, LOND
*Greece — Broken Vein (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD)
Hungary — Moulin (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD, THR review) CANN
*Iceland — The Ground Beneath Our Feet (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD)
*Iraq — No Paradise If You Are Killed by a Woman (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) VENI
*Ireland — Aontas (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD)
*Israel — Tell Me Everything (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) SUND
*Kosovo — Dua (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) CANN
*Kyrgyzstan — Kassandra (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD)
*Latvia — Ulya (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) CANN
*Lithuania — How to Divorce During the War (Kino Lorber, Aug. 21) SUND, KARL
*Luxembourg — Child (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD)
*Mexico — On the Road (Strand, Oct. 28, THR review) VENI (’25)
*Morocco — Strawberries (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) CANN
*North Macedonia — 17 (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) BERL
*Norway — Growth of the Soil (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) TIFF
*Palestine — Citizen Osama (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) VENI
*Peru — Night Has Come (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) KARL (’25)
*Serbia — Wanderlust (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD)
*Slovakia — Flood (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD)
*Slovenia — Fantasy (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) LOCA (’25)
*South Korea — Possible Love (Netflix, Oct. 23) VENI, TIFF, NYFF, LOND
Spain — Bitter Christmas (Sony Classics, TBD, THR review) CANN, KARL, TIFF, NYFF
Spain — A Woman’s Life (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD, THR review) CANN
*Sweden — Adult Supervision (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD)
*Switzerland — Who Is Still Alive (Watermelon, TBD) VENI (’25), LOCA
*Taiwan — A Foggy Tale (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD)
*Thailand — 9 Temples to Heaven (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) CANN, NYFF, LOND
*Turkey — Like a Limbless Tree (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD)
*Uruguay — A Loose End (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) VENI (’25)
Venezuela — It Would Be Night in Caracas (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) VENI (’25), TIFF (’25) -
Best Documentary Feature
Frontrunners
1. Once Upon a Time in Harlem (Neon, Oct. 16, THR review) — David Greaves & William Greaves SUND, CANN, TELL, TIFF, NYFF, LOND
2. American Doctor (Watermelon, Aug. 14, THR review) — Poh Si Teng SUND
3. One in a Million (Frontline, Oct. 21, THR review) — Itab Azzam & Jack MacInnes SUND
4. Musk (Bleecker Street, Oct. 16) — Alex Gibney — podcast VENI, TIFF, LOND
5. My Undesirable Friends: Part II – Exile (MUBI, Oct. 30) — Julia Loktev VENI, TELL, NYFF, LONDMajor Threats
6. Rehearsals for a Revolution (Sony Classics, TBD, THR review) — Pegah Ahangarani CANN, KARL, TELL, TIFF
7. Everest: The Other Side (Nat Geo, Oct. 30) — Jimmy Chin & Elizabeth Chai Vasarhelyi VENI, TELL, TIFF, LOND
8. The Last First: Winter K2 (Apple, TBD) — Amir Bar-Lev SUND, KARL
9. Avedon (Netflix, TBD, THR review) — Ron Howard CANN
10. The Trial of Alec Baldwin (Abramorama, Oct. 1) — Rory Kennedy DNYC
11. Give Me the Ball! (ESPN, TBD, THR review) — Liz Garbus & Elizabeth Wolff SUND
12. Cookie Queens (Roadside, Aug. 7, THR review) — Alysa Nahmias SUND
13. Nuisance Bear (MUBI, TBD, THR review) — Gabriela Osio Vanden & Jack Weisman SUND
14. Ash and Crayons (Briarcliff, TBD) — Evgeny Afineevsky
15. Maverick: The Epic Adventures of David Lean (self-distributed, TBD, THR review) — Barnaby Thompson CANNPossibilities
16. You Can See Everything (A24, Oct. 16, THR review) — Nathan Fielder & Lance Oppenheim TELL, NYFF
17. Everybody to Kenmure Street (Icarus, May 22) — Felipe Bustos Sierra SUND
18. Barbara Forever (Strand, Sept. 4) — Brydie O’Connor SUND, BERL
19. Union Town (self-distributed, TBD, THR review) — Barbara Kopple VENI, TIFF
20. Boorman and the Devil (self-distributed, Aug. 28, THR review) — David Kittredge VENI (’25)
21. Soul Patrol (Kino Lorber, TBD, THR review) — J.M. Harper SUND
22. Steal This Story, Please! (self-distributed, April 10) — Tia Lessin and Carl Deal TELL (’25), DNYC (’25)
23. Free Leonard Peltier (self-distributed, TBD, THR review) — David France and Jesse Short Bull SUND (’25)
24. The Last Guest of the Holloway Motel (self-distributed, May 22) — Nicholas Freeman & Motel Ramiel Petros TRIB (’25)
25. Seized (self-distributed, TBD, THR review) — Sharon Liese SUND
26. The Cycle of Love (Variance, Aug. 28) — Orlando von Einsiedel TELL (’25)
27. Time and Water (Nat Geo, May 29) — Sara Dosa SUND, SXSW
28. Jane Elliott Against the World (Independent Lens, TBD) — Judd Ehrlich SUNDLong Shots
29. The History of Concrete (Magnolia, Sept. 18, THR review) — John Wilson SUND, KARL, LOND
30. Peter Asher: Everywhere Man (self-distributed, June 19, THR review) — Dan Geller & Dayna Goldfine TELL (’25)
31. Public Access (self-distributed, TBD, THR review) — David Shadrack Smith SUND
32. The Eyes of Ghana (self-distributed) — Ben Proudfoot TIFF (’25), AFI (’25)
33. Birds of War (self-distributed, TBD) — Janay Boulos & Abd Alkader Habak SUND
34. The Match (self-distributed, TBD) — Juan Cabral & Santiago Franco CANN, KARL
35. A Child of My Own (Netflix, Aug. 7, THR review) — Maite Alberdi BERL
36. Knife: The Attempted Murder of Salman Rushdie (Abramorama, Sept. 17, THR review) — Alex Gibney — podcast SUND
37. Ask E. Jean (Abramorama, May 22, THR review) — Ivy Meeropol TELL (’25)
38. The Oldest Person in the World (self-distributed, Sept. 10) — Sam Green SUND, SXSW
39. Lumiere, Le Cinema! (Janus, April 25) — Thierry Fremaux TELL (’25)
40. Robert Richardson: The White Devil (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) — Jana Hojdová KARL
41. Linda Perry: Let It Die Here (Evan Saxon Productions, May 8) — Don Hardy TRIB (’24)Still to See or Under Embargo
14th (Netflix, Nov. 27) — Ava DuVernay — podcast NYFF, LOND
The AI Doc: Or How I Became an Apocaloptimist (Focus, March 27, THR review) — Daniel Roher & Charlie Tyrell SUND, SXSW
American Pachuco: The Legend of Luis Valdez (PBS, July 17, THR review) — David Alvarado SUND
Baby Doe (self-distributed, July 10, THR review) — Jessica Earnshaw SXSW
The Best Summer (self-distributed, TBD) — Tamra Davis SUND
Burgundy (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) — Michael Dweck & Gregory Kershaw VENI, TELL
Carl Sagan: We Are Made of Star Stuff (Nat Geo, TBD) — Nanette Burstein TELL
Dangerous Citizen: The Life and Times of Abraham Polonsky (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) — Steven C. Smith LOCA
Dernsie: The Amazing Life of Bruce Dern (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD, THR review) — Mike Mendez CANN
The Disciple: A Wu-Tang Fable (Netflix, Oct. 9, THR review) — Joanna Natasegara SUND, TELL
An Eye for an Eye (Jolt.film, Aug. 12, THR review) — Tanaz Eshaghian & Farzad Jafari TRIB
A Face Under a Pink Moon (Kino Lorber, TBD) — Soraya Akhlaghi & Mehrdad Oskouei
Freefall: A Reckoning for Boeing (Netflix, Aug. 14) — Rory Kennedy
From Dust We Spin (self-distributed, TBD) — Julia Jansch
From Inside Out — The Architecture of Peter Zumthor (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) — Wim Wenders — podcast VENI
If These Walls Could Rock (self-distributed, TBD, THR review) — Tyler Measom & Craig A. Williams DNYC
The Illusion of an Everlasting Summer (MUBI, TBD, THR review) — Alessandra Sanguinetti LOCA
Jean-Michel Basquiat (Netflix, TBD) — Viridiana Lieberman & Quinn Wilson TRIB
The Lake (self-distributed, TBD) — Abby Ellis SUND
Making Marie Antoinette (MUBI, Oct. 23) — Eleanor Coppola TELL, NYFF, LOND
Mary Oliver: Saved by the Beauty of the World (Kino Lorber, July 3, THR review) — Sasha Waters Freyer
My NDA (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) — Elizabeth Woodward SXSW
Naza (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD, THR review) — Yuval Abraham and Rachel Szor VENI, NYFF
Pete Townshend: Behind Blue Eyes (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) — Frank Marshall & Nigel Sinclair — podcast (Marshall) TELL
The Row (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) — Bryan Fogel — podcast TELL
Standout: The Ben Kjar Story (self-distributed, TBD) — Tanner Christensen
To Hold a Mountain (Submarine Deluxe, TBD) — Petar Glomazić & Biljana Tutorov SUND, LOND
Who Is Still Alive (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) — Nicolas Wadimoff VENI -
Best Animated Feature
Frontrunners
1. Toy Story 5 (Disney/Pixar, June 19, THR review) — Andrew Stanton
2. Ray Gunn (Netflix, TBD) — Brad Bird LOND
3. Iron Boy (Sony Classics, TBD, THR review) — Louis Clichy CANN, TIFF, NYFF, LOND
4. In Waves (Netflix, TBD, THR review) — Phuong Mai Nguyen CANN, ANNE, TIFF
5. Tangles (IFC, TBD, THR review) — Leah Nelson CANN, ANNE, TIFFStill to See or Under Embargo
The Cat in the Hat (Warner Bros., Nov. 6) — Alessandro Carloni & Erica Rivinoja
Forgotten Island (Universal/Dreamworks, Sept. 25) — Joel Crawford & Januel Mercado ANNE
Hexed (Disney, Nov. 25) — Jason Hand & Josie Trinidad
Hoppers (Disney/Pixar, March 6, THR review) — Daniel Chong
Jim Queen (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBA) — Nicolas Athane & Marco Nguyen CANN
Julián (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) — Louise Bagnall ANNE, TIFF, LOND
Lucy Lost (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) — Oliver Clert CANN, ANNE
Minions & Monsters (Universal, July 1, THR review) ANNE
The Ribbon Hero (Netflix, Aug. 8) — Yuki Igarashi ANNE
Shaun the Sheep: The Beast of Mossy Bottom (GKIDS, Sept. 18) — Steve Cox & Matthew Walker
Steps (Netflix, TBD) — John Ripa & Alyce Tzue
Le Vertige (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) — Quentin Dupieux CANN
The Violinist (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) — Raul Garcia & Ervin Han ANNE, TIFF
Viva Carmen! (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBA) — Sébastien Laudenbach CANN, ANNE, KARL, LOCA, TIFF
We Are Aliens (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBA) — Kohei Kadowaki CANN, ANNE
Wildwood (Laika, Oct. 23) — Travis Knight LOND, AFI -
Best Original Song
Frontrunners
1. “I Knew It, I Knew You” from Toy Story 5 (Disney/Pixar) — Jack Antonoff & Taylor Swift
2. “La nieve” from La Bola Negra (Netflix) — Guitarricadelafuente & Raül Refree
3. “Let Me Sell You a Dream” from Musk (Bleecker Street) — David Byrne & Daniel Pemberton — podcast (Byrne)
4. “This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn’t Spit Me Out)” from The Debut — Jesse Eisenberg — podcast
5. “On Video” from Primetime (A24) — Jack Antonoff, Phoebe Bridgers & Christian LeeMajor Threats
6. “When I’m Home” from The Odyssey (Universal) — James Blake, Ludwig Göransson, Christopher Nolan & Travis Scott
7. “What Lies with You” from Linda Perry: Let It Die Here (Evan Saxon Productions) — Linda Perry
8. “Shape of a Woman” from The Devil Wears Prada 2 (20th Century) — Stefani Germanotta [Lady Gaga], Mike Lévy [Gesaffelstein], Henry Walter [Cirkut] & Andrew Watt — podcast [Lady Gaga]Still to Come or Under Embargo
“Along the Way” from Moana (Disney) — Lin-Manuel Miranda — podcast
“Bottle Up” from Paw Patrol: The Dino Movie (Paramount) — Backstreet Boys
“By Any Means” from By Any Means (Paramout) — Diane Warren — podcast 1 and 2
“A Parallel World” from Forgotten Island (Universal/Dreamworks) — BINI
“Save the Day” from Hoppers (Disney/Pixar) — SZA, Rob Bisel & Ben Lovett
“One Right Here” from Maserati: The Brothers (Magenta Light) — Diane Warren — podcast 1 and 2 -
Best Original Score
Frontrunners
1. The Odyssey (Universal) — Ludwig Göransson
2. Project Hail Mary (Amazon/MGM) — Daniel Pemberton
3. Wild Horse Nine (Searchlight) — Carter Burwell
4. Toy Story 5 (Disney/Pixar) — Randy Newman — podcast
5. Disclosure Day (Universal) — John WilliamsMajor Threats
6. La Bola Negra (Netflix) — Raül Refree
7. Ink (Netflix) — Daniel Pemberton
8. You Can See Everything (A24) — Ari Balouzian
9. Tender Loving Care (Bleecker Street) — Gary Yershon
10. Ray Gunn (Netflix) — Michael Giacchino
11. Spider-Man: Brand New Day (Sony) — Michael Giacchino
12. The Mandalorian and Grogu (Disney) — Ludwig Göransson
13. Obsession (Focus) — Rock Burwell
14. Tenzing (Apple) — Rebekka Karijord
15. Elsinore (Focus) — Stefan GregoryPossibilities
16. Minotaur (MUBI) — Evgueni Galperine & Sacha Galperine
17. The Mosquito Bowl (Netflix) — Explosions in the Sky (Chris Hrasky, Michael James, Munaf Rayani & Mark Smith)
18. Club Kid (A24) — Cristobal Tapia de Veer
19. The Debut (A24) — Emile Mosseri
20. Bunker (Sony Classics) — Volker Bertelmann
21. Pressure (Focus) — Volker Bertelmann
22. The Sheep Detectives (Amazon/MGM) — Christophe Beck
23. Masters of the Universe (Amazon/MGM) — Daniel Pemberton
24. Sense and Sensibility (Focus) — Roger Goula
25. Supergirl (Warner Bros.) — Claudia Sarne
26. The Drama (A24) — Daniel Pemberton
27. Backrooms (A24) — Kane Parsons & Edo Van Breemen
28. Coward (MUBI) — Valentin Hadjadj
29. Being Heumann (Apple) — Francesco Le MetreLong Shots
30. Primetime (A24) — Ari Balouzian
31. Fjord (Neon) — Kaspar Kaae
32. Paper Tiger (Neon) — Christopher Spelman
33. The Invite (A24) — Devonté Hynes
34. Tony (A24) — Jay McCarrol
35. Tuner (Black Bear) — Will Bates
36. Josephine (Sumerian) — Miles Ross
37. All of a Sudden (Neon) — Samuel Andreyev
38. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (Universal) — Brian Tyler
39. The Dog Stars (20th Century) — Harry Gregson-Williams
40. By Any Means (Paramount) — Terence Blanchard
41. Practical Magic 2 (Warner Bros.) — Rupert Gregson-WilliamsStill to See or Under Embargo
Artificial (Neon) — Damon Albarn
Behemoth! (Searchlight) — Michael Abels, Emily Bear, Lukas Frank, Michael Giacchino, James Newton Howard, Henry Jackman, Nami Melumad, Brandon Roberts & Alan Silvestri
Bitter Christmas (Sony Classics) — Alberto Iglesias
DIGGER (Warner Bros.) — Cosmo Sheldrake
Dune: Part Three (Warner Bros.) — Hans Zimmer — podcast
Ebenezer (Paramount) — Tyler Bates
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth (Netflix) — Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross
I Play Rocky (Amazon/MGM) — Dave Palmer
The Social Reckoning (Sony) — Alexandre Desplat
Werwulf (Focus) — Robin Carolan -
Best Casting
Frontrunners
1. The Odyssey (Universal) — John Papsidera
2. Wild Horse Nine (Searchlight) — Sarah Finn
3. La Bola Negra (Netflix) — Eva Leira & Yolanda Serrano
4. Club Kid (A24) — Carmen Cuba
5. Tender Loving Care (Bleecker Street) — Nina GoldMajor Threats
6. Project Hail Mary (Amazon/MGM) — Nicola Abellera Hallman & Jeanne McCarthy
7. Being Heumann (Apple) — Adam Caldwell & Bernard Telsey
8. Obsession (Focus) — Skyler Zurn
9. Elsinore (Focus) — Jessica Ronane
10. Michael (Lionsgate) — Victoria Thomas
11. Fjord (Neon) — Hannah Chocron Foldøy & Abhinav SinghPossibilities
12. Sense and Sensibility (Focus) — Kharmel Cochrane
13. All of a Sudden (Neon) — Coralie Amedeo
14. The Mosquito Bowl (Netflix) — Rachel Tenner
15. Tony (A24) — Chelsea Ellis Bloch & Marisol Roncali
16. Primetime (A24) — Francine Maisler & Molly Rose
17. Fatherland (MUBI) — Nina Haun, Karen Lindsay-Stewart & Magdalena SzwarcbartLong Shots
18. The Debut (A24) — Douglas Aibel
19. Paper Tiger (Neon) — Douglas Aibel
20. Ink (Netflix) — Rebecca Farhall & Gail Stevens
21. Minotaur (MUBI) — Anastasia Smekalova
22. Coward (MUBI) — Sebastian Moradiellos
23. Tenzing (Apple) — Nikki Barrett, Danny Long & Sanjeev MauryaStill to See or Under Embargo
Artificial (Neon) — Jessica Ronane
Behemoth! (Searchlight) — Carmen Cuba
DIGGER (Warner Bros.) — Francine Maisler
Dune: Part Three (Warner Bros.) — Francine Maisler
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth (Netflix) — Laray Mayfield
I Play Rocky (Amazon/MGM) — Rick Montgomery
The Social Reckoning (Sony) — Francine Maisler & Molly Rose -
Best Cinematography
Frontrunners
1. The Odyssey (Universal) — Hoyte van Hoytema
2. Project Hail Mary (Amazon/MGM) — Greig Fraser
3. Fatherland (MUBI) — Lukasz Zal
4. Wild Horse Nine (Searchlight) — Ben Davis
5. La Bola Negra (Netflix, 10/16) — Gris JordanaMajor Threats
6. Rose (MUBI) — Gerald Kerkletz
7. Michael (Lionsgate) — Dion Beebe
8. Ink (Netflix) — Alwin H. Küchler
9. Sense and Sensibility (Focus) — Arnaud Potier
10. All of a Sudden (Neon) — Alan Guichaoua
11. Disclosure Day (Universal) — Janusz KaminskiPossibilities
12. Coward (MUBI) — Frank van den Eeden
13. The Mosquito Bowl (Netflix) — Jacques Jouffret
14. Tenzing (Apple) — Stefan Duscio
15. Backrooms (A24) — Jeremy Cox
16. Club Kid (A24) — Adam Newport-BerraLong Shots
17. Fjord (Neon) — Tudor Vladimir Panduru
18. The Invite (A24) — Adam Newport-Berra
19. Obsession (Focus) — Taylor Clemons
20. Elsinore (Focus) — Mike Eley
21. The Debut (A24) — Drew Daniels
22. Paper Tiger (Neon) — Joaquin Baca-AsayStill to See or Under Embargo
Alone at Dawn (Amazon/MGM) — Salvatore Totino
Artificial (Neon) — Malik Hassan Sayeed
Behemoth! (Searchlight) — Damián García
DIGGER (Warner Bros.) — Emmanuel Lubezki
Dune: Part Three (Warner Bros.) — Linus Sandgren
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth (Netflix) — Erik Messerschmidt
Heart of the Beast (Paramount) — Mauro Fiore
Hope (Neon) — Hong Kyung-pyo
I Play Rocky (Amazon/MGM) — Sean Porter
Madden (Amazon/MGM) — Robert Richardson — podcast
The Social Reckoning (Sony) — Jeff Cronenweth
Werwulf (Focus) — Jarin Blaschke -
Best Costume Design
Frontrunners
1. The Odyssey (Universal) — Ellen Mirojnick
2. Project Hail Mary (Amazon/MGM) — David Crossman & Glyn Dillon
3. La Bola Negra (Netflix) — Ana López Cobos
4. Sense and Sensibility (Focus) — Grace Snell
5. Coward (MUBI) — Isabel Van RenterghemMajor Threats
6. Rose (MUBI) — Doris Bartelt
7. Fatherland (MUBI) — Ola Staszko
8. Wild Horse Nine (Searchlight) — Eimer Ní Mhaoldomhnaigh
9. Ink (Netflix) — Carson McColl & Gareth PughPossibilities
10. Michael (Lionsgate) — Marci Rodgers
11. The Mosquito Bowl (Netflix) — Liz McGregor
12. The Debut (A24) — Stacey Battat
13. Elsinore (Focus) — Mel PageLong Shots
14. Tenzing (Apple) — Kirsty Cameron
15. Paper Tiger (Neon) — Amy Roth
16. Fjord (Neon) — Mircea OlteanuStill to See or Under Embargo
Alone at Dawn (Amazon/MGM) — Denise Wingate
Artificial (Neon) — Marco Costa
Behemoth! (Searchlight) — Mary Zophres
DIGGER (Warner Bros.) — Jacqueline West
Dune: Part Three (Warner Bros.) — Jacqueline West
Ebenezer (Paramount) — Catherine George
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth (Netflix) — Trish Summerville
I Play Rocky (Amazon/MGM) — Amy Roth
Madden (Amazon/MGM) — Madeline Weeks
Werwulf (Focus) — Linda Muir -
Best Film Editing
Frontrunners
1. The Odyssey (Universal) — Jennifer Lame
2. Wild Horse Nine (Searchlight) — Mikkel E.G. Nielsen
3. Project Hail Mary (Amazon/MGM) — Joel Negron
4. La Bola Negra (Netflix, 10/16) — Alberto Gutiérrez
5. Michael (Lionsgate) — Conrad Buff, Tom Cross, John Ottman & Harry YoonMajor Threats
6. The Invite (A24) — Anthony Boys & Yorgos Mavropsaridis
7. Ink (Netflix) — Fin Oates
8. Fatherland (MUBI) — Paweł Pawlikowski & Piotr Wójcikr
9. Club Kid (A24) — Taylor Levy & Sofía Subercaseaux
10. The Mosquito Bowl (Netflix) — Garret Donnelly & Jon Otazua
11. Fjord (Neon) — Mircea OlteanuPossibilities
12. Elsinore (Focus) — Valerio Bonelli
13. The Debut (A24) — Robert Nassau
14. Obsession (Focus) — Curry Barker
15. Minotaur (MUBI) — TBD
16. Coward (MUBI) — Alain Dessauvage
17. Paper Tiger (Neon) — Scott MorrisLong Shots
18. You Can See Everything (A24) — Adam Locke-Norton
19. Backrooms (A24) — Greg Ng
20. Sense and Sensibility (Focus) — Izabella Curry
22. Tenzing (Apple) — Simon Njoo
23. Disclosure Day (Universal) — Sarah BrosharStill to See or Under Embargo
Alone at Dawn (Amazon/MGM) — Cam McLauchlin
Artificial (Neon) — Marco Costa
Behemoth! (Searchlight) — John Gilroy
DIGGER (Warner Bros.) — Stephen Mirrione & Conor O’Neill
Dune: Part Three (Warner Bros.) — Joe Walker
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth (Netflix) — Trish Summerville — Kirk Baxter
I Play Rocky (Amazon/MGM) — Sam Seig
Madden (Amazon/MGM) — Alan Baumgarten & Jon Poll
The Social Reckoning (Sony) — Alan Baumgarten
Werwulf (Focus) — Louise Ford -
Best Makeup & Hairstyling
Frontrunners
1. The Odyssey (Universal) — Luisa Abel & Gloria Pasqua Casey
2. Michael (Lionsgate) — Bill Corso & Carla Farmer
3. La Bola Negra (Netflix) — Pablo Morillas & Mariló Osuna
4. Obsession (Focus) — Katie Oja & Allie Shehorn
5. The Mosquito Bowl (Netflix) — Angela ConteMajor Threats
6. Project Hail Mary (Amazon/MGM) — Candice Banks
7. Coward (MUBI) — Evalotte Oosterop
8. Elsinore (Focus) — Nadia StaceyPossibilities
9. Ink (Netflix) — Zoe Clare Brown
10. Wild Horse Nine (Searchlight) — Emma Scott
11. Pressure (Focus) — Zoe Clare BrownLong Shots
12. Paper Tiger (Neon) — Christopher Fulton, Jodi King & Todd Kleitsch
13. Moana (Disney) — TBDStill to See or Under Embargo
Artificial (Neon) — Massimo Gattabrusi & Fernanda Perez
The Debut (A24) — Jamie Amadio & Sarah S. Graalman
DIGGER (Warner Bros.) — Kazu Hiro
Dune: Part Three (Warner Bros.) — Heike Merker
Ebenezer (Paramount) — TBD
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth (Netflix) — Trish Summerville
I Play Rocky (Amazon/MGM) — Nakoya Yancey
Madden (Amazon/MGM) — Ellen Arden & Andrew Bell
The Social Reckoning (Sony) — Zabrina Matiru
Werwulf (A24) — Christine Blundell -
Best Production Design
Frontrunners
1. The Odyssey (Universal) — Ruth De Jong
2. Project Hail Mary (Amazon/MGM) — Charles Wood
3. La Bola Negra (Netflix, 10/16) — Roger Bellés
4. Fatherland (MUBI) — Marcel Slawinski & Katarzyna Sobanska
5. Backrooms (A24) — Danny VermetteMajor Threats
6. Michael (Lionsgate) — Barbara Ling
7. Wild Horse Nine (Searchlight) — Denis Schnegg
8. Sense and Sensibility (Focus) — Francesca Di Mottola
9. Ink (Netflix) — Carson McColl & Gareth Pugh
10. The Invite (A24) — Jade Healy
11. Club Kid (A24) — Stephen Phelps
12. You Can See Everything (A24) — Alex DiGerlandoPossibilities
13. The Mosquito Bowl (Netflix) — Philip Ivey
14. Tenzing (Apple) — Melinda Doring
15. Being Heumann (Apple) — John P. Goldsmith
16. Coward (MUBI) — Eve Martin
17. Disclosure Day (Universal) — Adam Stockhausen
18. Bunker (Sony Classics) — Alain Bainée
19. Elsinore (Focus) — Helen ScottLong Shots
20. All of a Sudden (Neon) — Mila Preli
21. Fjord (Neon) — Marius Winje Brustad
22. Obsession (Focus) — Vivian Gray
23. The Debut (A24) — Anne Ross & Amy Silver
24. Tuner (Black Bear) — Peter Cosco
25. Paper Tiger (Neon) — Happy Massee
26. Rose (MUBI) — Olivier Meidinger
27. Tony (A24) — Ryan Warren SmithStill to See or Under Embargo
Alone at Dawn (Amazon/MGM) — Peter Wenham
Artificial (Neon) — Stefano Baisi
Behemoth! (Searchlight) — Jade Healy
DIGGER (Warner Bros.) — Dennis Gassner
Dune: Part Three (Warner Bros.) — Patrice Vermette
Ebenezer (Paramount) — Eve Stewart
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth (Netflix) — Donald Graham Burt
I Play Rocky (Amazon/MGM) — Anthony Gasparro
Madden (Amazon/MGM) — David J. Bomba & Sean Ryan Jennings
The Social Reckoning (Sony) — Jon Hutman
Werwulf (Focus) — Craig Lathrop
Whalefall (20th Century) — Ramsey Avery -
Best Sound
Frontrunners
1. The Odyssey (Universal)
2. Project Hail Mary (Amazon/MGM)
3. Michael (Lionsgate)
4. La Bola Negra (Netflix)
5. The Mosquito Bowl (Netflix)Major Threats
6. Tenzing (Apple)
7. Backrooms (A24)
8. Spider-Man: Brand New Day (Sony)
9. Toy Story 5 (Disney/Pixar)
10. Wild Horse Nine (Searchlight)Possibilities
11. The Debut (A24)
12. The Mandalorian and Grogu (Disney)
13. Ink (Netflix)
14. Disclosure Day (Universal)
15. Obsession (Focus)Long Shots
16. Moana (Disney)
17. Supergirl (Warner Bros.)
18. Masters of the Universe (Amazon/MGM)
19. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (Universal)Still to See or Under Embargo
Alone at Dawn (Amazon/MGM)
Behemoth! (Searchlight)
DIGGER (Warner Bros.)
Dune: Part Three (Warner Bros.)
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth (Netflix)
I Play Rocky (Amazon/MGM)
Madden (Amazon/MGM)
The Social Reckoning (Sony)
Undertone (A24)
Werwulf (Focus)
Whalefall (20th Century) -
Best Visual Effects
Frontrunners
1. Project Hail Mary (Amazon/MGM)
2. The Odyssey (Universal)
3. La Bola Negra (Netflix)
4. Spider-Man: Brand New Day (Sony)
5. The Mosquito Bowl (Netflix)Major Threats
6. The Mandalorian and Grogu (Disney)
7. Backrooms (A24)
8. Disclosure Day (Universal)Possibilities
9. Tenzing (Apple)
10. Moana (Disney)
11. The Sheep Detectives (Amazon/MGM)Long Shots
12. Supergirl (Warner Bros.)
13. Masters of the Universe (Amazon/MGM)Still to See or Under Embargo
Alone at Dawn (Amazon/MGM)
DIGGER (Warner Bros.)
Dune: Part Three (Warner Bros.)
Godzilla Minus Zero (GKIDS)
Hope (Neon)
I Play Rocky (Amazon/MGM)
Street Fighter (Paramount)
Werwulf (Focus)
Whalefall (20th Century) -
Best Animated Short
Top Contenders
Apart — Pola Maneli
Paper Trail — Don Hertzfeldt
Living with a Visionary — Stephen P. Neary
Daffy Season — Hamish Grieve & Todd Wilderman -
Best Documentary Short
Top Contenders
The Baddest Speechwriter of All (Netflix) — Stephen Curry & Ben Proudfoot SUND
They’re Here — Rachel Muller & Laura Poitras VENI
New York Never Let Me Down — Charlotte Wells NYFF
South of Tehran — Kleber Mendonça Filho NYFF
Witt v. Air Force — Ben Proudfoot
The Buffalo Miracle — Ben Proudfoot
The Ship That Turned Back — Allie Light
Room of the Absolute — Elizabeth Baudouin & Natalie Shirinian
The Boys and the Bees — Arielle Knight SUND
The Vanishing Song — Ruby Yang
The Second Life of Freddie Nole — Dana Nachman
Oh Whale —Winslow Crane-Murdoch
Panther Pat — Ash Brandon
The Grandfather Puzzle — Ora DeKornfeld -
Best Live Action Short
Top Contenders
Flesh Impact — Maggie Gyllenhaal VENI
Candy Bar — Nash Egerton SUND
Jazz Infernal — Will Niava SUND
Crisis Actor — Lily Platt SUND
Odessa — Harald Swinkels
Power Trip — Patrick Willems
Magan’s Fare — Christopher Knoblock & Dana White
I Will Be Alright — Cyrus Neshvad
Mary the Widow — Ryan Noufer
Callback — Matthew Puccini
This Is Private — LeAndre Thomas
Lightning Bug — Zane Pais