Oscar Predictions via Feinberg Forecast: Updated Post Venice and Telluride, as TIFF Gets Underway
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Oscar Predictions via Feinberg Forecast: Updated Post Venice and Telluride, as TIFF Gets Underway

A NOTE FROM SCOTT Since my first forecast of the season posted on Sept. 2, the 83rd Venice Film Festival and the 53rd Telluride Film Festival have come and gone, and the 51st Toronto International Film Festival has kicked off, so there has been significant movement on the charts. To recap some recent developments…

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Venice enthusiastically embraced the world premieres of the disturbing Gaza documentary NAZA (a record 25 minutes), the Javier Bardem/Penélope Cruz reunion Bunker (16 minutes), Martin McDonagh’s eccentric dramedy Wild Horse Nine (14 minutes), the To Catch a Predator dramatization Primetime (9-minute standing ovation) and Lee Chang-dong’s Possible Love (6 minutes). The fest’s Maggie Gyllenhaal-led jury will announce its prize winners later today.

Telluride also flipped for Wild Horse Nine, as well as for the world premieres of the unusual documentary You Can See Everything (a surprise screening at the fest), the Julianne Moore showcase The Debut and the Andrew Scott and Carrie Coon vehicles Elsinore and The Liberation, respectively. Additionally, Cannes carryovers La Bola Negra and Club Kid played through the roof in their North American bows, as did Rose, for which Sandra Hüller won the best actress prize in Berlin.

The opening weekend at TIFF has been somewhat muted, presumably in part because of the fest’s unofficial policy of not programming in its first few days films that played at Venice or Telluride. Thursday, the fest’s opening night, featured the world premieres of Being Heumann (THR review), Sian Heder’s follow-up to best picture Oscar winner CODA, and The Housewife (THR review), starring Naomi Watts, both of which were received warmly.

A highlight of TIFF’s Friday was the return of Obsession, which premiered in the fest’s Midnight Madness section a year ago en route to massive commercial success and considerable Oscar buzz this year. Director Curry Barker, 26, and star Inde Navarrette, 25, participated in a charming and insightful TIFF Dialogue before screening their film again, the first of several upcoming stops for the two — together and separate — on behalf of the film’s little-engine-that-could awards campaign.

Saturday night brings the highly-anticipated unveiling of I Play Rocky, which Amazon/MGM surely hopes can retrace the path of an earlier Peter Farrelly movie that premiered at TIFF en route to winning the fest’s audience award and several Oscars, including best picture: Green Book.

A friendly reminder that the Feinberg Forecast aims to project what will happen, not to advocate for what should, and does not rank films that its namesake has not seen or that remain under embargo.

  • Best Picture

    Frontrunners
    1. The Odyssey (Universal, July 17, THR review) — Christopher Nolan & Emma Thomas
    2. Wild Horse Nine (Searchlight, Nov. 6, THR review) — Graham Broadbent, Pete Czernin, Martin McDonagh & Anita Overland VENI, TELL, TIFF, LOND
    3. Project Hail Mary (Amazon/MGM, March 20, THR review) — Ryan Gosling, Phil Lord, Chris Miller, Rachel O’Connor, Amy Pascal, Aditya Sood & Andy Weir
    4. La Bola Negra (Netflix, Oct. 16, THR review) — Javier Ambrossi & Javier Calvo CANN, TELL, TIFF, NYFF, LOND
    5. Club Kid (A24, Nov. 6, THR review) — Alex Coco, Galen Core & Ryan Heller CANN, TELL, TIFF, NYFF, LOND
    6. The Invite (A24, June 26, THR review) — Ben Browning, Megan Ellison & David Permut SUND
    7. Fjord (Neon, Oct. 9, THR review) — Dyveke Bkørkly Graver, Cristian Mungiu, Andrea Berentsen Ottmar & Tudor Reu CANN, KARL, TELL, TIFF, NYFF
    8. You Can See Everything (A24, Oct. 16, THR review) — Nathan Fielder & Lance Oppenheim TELL, NYFF
    9. Obsession (Focus, May 15, THR review) — James Harris, Haley Nicole Johnson, Christian Mercuri & Roman Viaris-de-Lesegno TIFF
    10. Elsinore (Focus, Nov. 20, THR review) — Carolyn Marks Blackwood, Mickey Liddell, Stefano Massenzi, Andrea Occhipinti, Andrew Scott, Pete Shilaimon & Gabrielle Tana TELLTIFF, LOND

    Major Threats
    11. Tender Loving Care (Bleecker Street, Dec. 4, THR review) — Georgina Lowe TELL, TIFF, NYFF, LOND
    12. The Debut (A24, Dec. 11, THR review) — Jesse Eisenberg, Ali Herting, Dave McNary & Emma Stone TELL, TIFF, NYFF, LOND
    13. Michael (Lionsgate, 4/24, THR review) — John Branca, Graham King & John McClain
    14. Toy Story 5 (Disney/Pixar, June 19, THR review) — Jessica Choi & Lindsey Collins
    15. All of a Sudden (Neon, Nov. 25, THR review) — Renan Artukmaç, Bettina Brokemper, Julien Deris, David Gauquié, Hiroko Matsuda, Jean-Luc Ormières, Kôsuke Oshida, Joseph Rouschop & Yûji Sadai CANN, KARL, TIFF, NYFF, LOND
    16. Ink (Netflix, Dec. 11, THR review) — Danny Boyle, Michael Ellenberg, Tessa Ross & Tracey Seaward VENI, TELL, TIFF, LOND

    Possibilities
    17. Paper Tiger (Neon, Nov. 13, THR review) — James Gray, Anthony Katagas & Rodrigo Teixeira CANN, KARL, NYFF, LOND
    18. Minotaur (MUBI, Nov. 20, THR review) — Charles Gillibert & Andrei Zvyagintsev CANN, TELL, TIFF, NYFF, LOND
    19. Fatherland (MUBI, Oct. 23, THR review) — Edward Berger, Lorenzo Gangarossa, Mario Gianani, Lorenzo Mieli, Ewa Puszczyńska, Dimitri Rassam & Jeanne Tremsal CANN, KARL, TELL, NYFF, LOND
    20. Sense and Sensibility (Focus, Oct. 16) — Tim Bevan, Eric Fellner, India Flint & Jo Wallet
    21. Rose (MUBI, TBD, THR review) BERL, KARL, TELL, NYFF, LOND

    Long Shots
    22. Tuner (Black Bear, 5/22, THR review) — Michael Heimler, Teddy Schwarzman, JoAnne Sellar & Lila Yacoub TIFF, SUND
    23. Bunker (Sony Classics, Dec. 10, THR review) — Fernando Bovaira, Alice Dawson, Federica Sainte-Rose & Simón de Santiago VENI, TIFF
    24. Being Heumann (Apple, Nov. 6, THR review) — John W. Beach, Kevin Cleary, Sian Heder, David Permut & Kevin Walsh TIFF, LOND
    25. Coward (MUBI, Dec. 25, THR review) — Michiel Dhont CANN, KARL, TIFF, LOND
    26. The Mosquito Bowl (Netflix, Oct. 30) — Peter Berg, Alex Gayner & Brian Grazer
    27. Josephine (Sumerian, Nov. 20, THR review) — Jesse Hope, Josh Peters & Max Walker-Silverman SUND, BERL, LOND

    Still to See or Under Embargo
    Artificial (Neon, TBD) — Jeffrey Clifford, Jennifer Fox, Luca Guadagnino, David Heyman & Simon Rich NYFF, LOND
    Behemoth! (Searchlight, Dec. 4) — John Gilroy, Tony Gilroy & Sanne Wohlenberg NYFF, LOND
    DIGGER (Warner Bros., Oct. 2) — Tom Cruise, Alejandro González Iñarritu & Mary Parent
    Dune: Part Three (Warner Bros., Dec. 18) — Cale Boyter, Tanya Lapointe, Patrick McCormick, Mary Parent & Denis Villeneuve
    The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth (Netflix, Nov. 25) — Ceán Chaffin, David Heyman, Brad Pitt & Quentin Tarantino
    Heart of the Beast (Paramount, Sept. 25) — David Ayer, Marty Bowen, Olivia Hamilton & Brad Pitt
    I Play Rocky (Amazon/MGM, Nov. 13) — Christian Baha, Toby Emmerich & Peter Farrelly TIFF
    Madden (Amazon/MGM, Nov. 18) — Todd Black, Jason Blumenthal, Matthew Budman, David O. Russell, Jonathan Shukat, Steve Tisch & Colin Wilson
    Mr. Irrelevant (Paramount, Dec. 25) — Gillian Bohrer, David Ellison, Dana Goldberg, Don Granger, Jonathan Levine & Nick Santora
    Possible Love (Netflix, Oct. 23, THR review) — Lee Joon-dong, David Levine & Chadwick Prichard VENI, TIFF, NYFF, LOND
    The Social Reckoning (Sony, Oct. 9) — Stuart M. Besser, Todd Black, Peter Rice & Aaron Sorkin
    Werwulf (Focus, Dec. 25) — Tim Bevan, Garrett Bird, Robert Eggers, Eric Fellner & Sjón Sigurdsson
    Wildwood (Laika, Oct. 23) — Travis Knight LOND, AFI

  • Best Director

    Frontrunners
    1. Christopher Nolan for The Odyssey (Universal)
    2. Martin McDonagh for Wild Horse Nine (Searchlight)
    3. Phil Lord and Chris Miller for Project Hail Mary (Amazon/MGM)
    4. Javier Ambrossi & Javier Calvo for La Bola Negra (Netflix)
    5. Olivia Wilde for The Invite (A24) — podcast

    Major Threats
    6. Mike Leigh for Tender Loving Care (Bleecker Street) — podcast
    7. Curry Barker for Obsession (Focus)
    8. Cristian Mungiu for Fjord (Neon)
    9. Pawel Pawlikowski for Fatherland (Neon)
    10. Andrey Zvyagintsev for Minotaur (MUBI)

    Possibilities
    11. Ryusuke Hamaguchi for All of a Sudden (Neon)
    12. Jesse Eisenberg for The Debut (A24) — podcast
    13. Jordan Firstman for Club Kid (A24)
    14. Nathan Fielder & Lance Oppenheim for You Can See Everything (A24)
    15. Danny Boyle for Ink (Netflix) — podcast

    Long Shots
    16. James Gray for Paper Tiger (Neon) — podcast
    17. Lukas Dhont for Coward (MUBI)
    18. Andrew Stanton for Toy Story 5 (Disney/Pixar)
    19. Peter Berg for The Mosquito Bowl (Netflix)
    20. Beth de Araújo for Josephine (Sumerian)

    Still to See or Under Embargo
    David Ayer for Heart of the Beast (Paramount)
    Lee Chang-dong for Possible Love (Netflix)
    Robert Eggers for Werwulf (Focus)
    Peter Farrelly for I Play Rocky (Amazon/MGM)
    David Fincher for The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth (Netflix)
    Tony Gilroy for Behemoth! (Searchlight)
    Luca Guadagnino for Artificial (Neon)
    Alejandro González Iñarritu for DIGGER (Warner Bros.) — podcast 1 and 2
    Jonathan Levine for Mr. Irrelevant (Paramount)
    David O. Russell for Madden (Amazon/MGM)
    Aaron Sorkin for The Social Reckoning (Sony) — podcast
    Denis Villeneuve for Dune: Part Three (Warner Bros.) — podcast

  • Best Actor

    Frontrunners
    1. John Malkovich for Wild Horse Nine (Searchlight)
    2. Andrew Scott for Elsinore (Focus)
    3. Ryan Gosling for Project Hail Mary (Prime Video)
    4. Matt Damon for The Odyssey (Universal)
    5. John Turturro for The Only Living Pickpocket in New York (Sony Classics) — podcast

    Major Threats
    6. Jaafar Jackson for Michael (Lionsgate)
    7. Sebastian Stan for Fjord (Neon) — podcast
    8. Jordan Firstman for Club Kid (A24)
    9. Robert Pattinson for Primetime (A24) — podcast
    10. Jack O’Connell for Ink (Netflix)
    11. Miles Teller for Paper Tiger (Neon) — podcast

    Possibilities
    12. Willem Dafoe for Late Fame (Magnolia) — podcast
    13. Leo Woodall for Tuner (Black Bear)
    14. Robert Aramayo for I Swear (Sony Classics)
    15. Javier Bardem for Bunker (Sony Classics) — podcast
    16. Javier Bardem for The Beloved (Kino Lorber) — podcast
    17. Dominic Sessa for Tony (A24)

    Long Shots
    18. Dmitriy Mazurov for Minotaur (MUBI)
    19. Hanns Zischler for Fatherland (MUBI)
    20. Matthew McConaughey for The Rivals of Amziah King (Black Bear) — podcast
    21. Chiwetel Ejiofor for Backrooms (A24)
    22. Seth Rogen for The Invite (A24) — podcast 1 and 2
    23. Josh O’Connor for Disclosure Day (Universal)

    Still to See or Under Embargo
    Yura Borisov for Artificial (Neon)
    Nicolas Cage for Madden (Amazon/MGM) — podcast
    Timothée Chalamet for Dune: Part Three (Warner Bros.) — podcast
    David Corenswet for Mr. Irrelevant (Paramount)
    Tom Cruise for DIGGER (Warner Bros.)
    Johnny Depp for Ebenezer (Paramount)
    Alden Ehrenreich for A Talent for Murder (Bleecker Street)
    Ethan Hawke for The Weight (Vertical) — podcast
    Anthony Ippolito for I Play Rocky (Amazon/MGM)
    Ian McKellen for The Christophers (Neon) — podcast
    Pedro Pascal for Behemoth! (Searchlight)
    Brad Pitt for The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth (Netflix)
    Brad Pitt for Heart of the Beast (Paramount)
    Jeremy Strong for The Social Reckoning (Sony) — podcast
    Aaron Taylor-Johnson for Werwulf (Focus)

  • Best Actress

    Frontrunners
    1. Julianne Moore for The Debut (A24) — podcast
    2. Carrie Coon for The Liberation (Bleecker Street)
    3. Inde Navarrette for Obsession (Focus)
    4. Sandra Hüller for Rose (MUBI) — podcast
    5. Virginie Efira for All of a Sudden (Neon)

    Major Threats
    6. Kate O’Flynn for Tender Loving Care (Bleecker Street)
    7. Renate Reinsve for Fjord (Neon)
    8. Léa Seydoux for Gentle Monster (Netflix) — podcast
    9. Penélope Cruz for Bunker (Sony Classics) — podcast
    10. Olivia Wilde for The Invite (A24) — podcast
    11. Sandra Hüller for Fatherland (MUBI) — podcast

    Possibilities
    12. Emily Blunt for Disclosure Day (Universal) — podcast
    13. Daisy Edgar-Jones for Sense and Sensibility (Focus)
    14. Ruth Madeley for Being Heumann (Apple)
    15. Zendaya for The Drama (A24) — podcast
    16. Naomi Watts for The Housewife (Neon)

    Long Shots
    17. Sarah Paulson for Closing Night (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    18. Meryl Streep for The Devil Wears Prada 2 (20th Century) — podcast
    19. Sophie Okonedo for Clarissa (Neon)
    20. Rinko Kikuchi for Ha-Chan, Shake Your Booty! (Sony Classics)
    21. Mason Reeves for Josephine (Sumerian)

    Still to See or Under Embargo
    Hiam Abbass for Atonement (Kino Lorber)
    Moon Choi for Bedford Park (Sony Classics)
    Michaela Coel for The Christophers (Neon)
    Jeon Do-yeon for Possible Love (Netflix)
    Rosalind Eleazar for Misty Green (A24)
    Cynthia Erivo for Prima Facie (still seeking U.S. distribution) — podcast
    Dakota Johnson for Verity (Amazon/MGM) — podcast
    Katherine Mallen Kupferer for Mouse (IFC)
    Barbara Lennie for Bitter Christmas (Sony Classics)
    Mikey Madison for The Social Reckoning (Columbia) — podcast
    Kate Mara for Bucking Fastard (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Rooney Mara for Bucking Fastard (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Rachel McAdams for Send Help (20th Century)
    Keke Palmer for I Love Boosters (Neon)
    Kara Young for Is God Is (Amazon/MGM)

  • Best Supporting Actor

    Frontrunners
    1. Sam Rockwell for Wild Horse Nine (Searchlight) — podcast 1 and 2
    2. Paul Giamatti for The Debut (A24) — podcast
    3. Adam Driver for Paper Tiger (Neon) — podcast
    4. John Leguizamo for The Odyssey (Universal)
    5. Robert Pattinson for The Odyssey (Universal) — podcast

    Major Threats
    6. Colman Domingo for Michael (Lionsgate) — podcast
    7. Guitarricadelafuente for La Bola Negra (Netflix)
    8. Edward Norton for The Invite (A24) — podcast
    9. Steve Buscemi for Wild Horse Nine (Searchlight)
    10. Guy Pearce for Ink (Netflix) — podcast
    11. Tom Holland for The Odyssey (Universal)

    Possibilities
    12. Miguel Bernardeau for La Bola Negra (Netflix)
    13. Carlos Gonzalez for La Bola Negra (Netflix)
    14. Skyler Gisondo for Primetime (A24)
    15. James Ortiz for Project Hail Mary (Amazon/MGM)
    16. Antonio Banderas for Tony (A24)

    Long Shots
    17. Dustin Hoffman for Tuner (Black Bear)
    18. Diego Calva for Club Kid (A24)
    19. Channing Tatum for Josephine (Sumerian) — podcast
    20. Paul Jesson for Tender Loving Care (Bleecker Street)
    21. Ray Nicholson for The Mosquito Bowl (Netflix)

    Still to See or Under Embargo
    Riz Ahmed for DIGGER (Warner Bros.) — podcast
    Will Arnett for Behemoth! (Searchlight)
    Christian Bale for Madden (Amazon/MGM)
    Ike Barinholtz for Artifical (Neon)
    Scott Caan for The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth (Netflix)
    Tom Courtenay for Queen at Sea (Greenwich)
    Willem Dafoe for Werwulf (Foucs) — podcast
    Matt Dillon for I Play Rocky (Amazon/MGM)
    Andrew Garfield for Artificial (Neon) — podcast
    John Goodman for DIGGER (Warner Bros.)
    Stephan James for I Play Rocky (Amazon/MGM) — podcast
    Jesse Plemons for DIGGER (Warner Bros.) — podcast
    Mark Rylance for Artifical (Neon)
    Jeremy Allen White for The Social Reckoning (Sony) — podcast

  • Best Supporting Actress

    Frontrunners
    1. Sandra Hüller for Project Hail Mary (Amazon/MGM) — podcast
    2. Anne Hathaway for The Odyssey (Universal)
    3. Scarlett Johansson for Paper Tiger (Neon)
    4. Mariana di Girolamo for Wild Horse Nine (Searchlight)
    5. Penélope Cruz for La Bola Negra (Netflix) — podcast

    Major Threats
    6. Penélope Cruz for The Invite (A24) — podcast
    7. [redacted] for You Can See Everything (A24)
    8. Alice Bailey Johnson for Tender Loving Care (Bleecker Street)
    9. Samantha Morton in The Odyssey (Universal)
    10. Esme Creed-Miles for Sense and Sensibility (Focus)
    11. Lola Dueñas for La Bola Negra (Netflix)
    12. Olivia Colman for Elsinore (Focus) — podcast

    Possibilities
    13. Lily James for The Liberation (Bleecker Street) — podcast
    14. Bella Ramsey for The Liberation (Bleecker Street)
    15. Tao Okamoto for All of a Sudden (Neon)
    16. Gemma Chan for Josephine (Sumerian)
    17. Marion Bailey for Tender Loving Care (Bleecker Street)
    18. Colleen Camp for Club Kid (A24)

    Long Shots
    19. Claire Foy for Ink (Netflix) — podcast
    20. Greta Lee for Late Fame (Magnolia)
    21. Alana Haim for The Drama (A24)
    22. Emilia Jones for Tony (A24) — podcast
    23. Renate Reinsve for Backrooms (A24)
    24. Merritt Wever for Primetime (A24)

    Still to See or Under Embargo
    Monica Barbaro for Artifical (Neon)
    Elizabeth Debicki for The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth (Netflix)
    Lily-Rose Depp for Werwulf (Focus)
    Kathryn Hahn for Madden (Amazon/MGM) — podcast
    Rebecca Hall for The Man I Love (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Sandra Hüller for DIGGER (Warner Bros.) — podcast
    Tara Mallen for Mouse (IFC)
    Wunmi Mosaku for The Social Reckoning (Sony)
    Sophie Okonedo for Mouse (IFC)
    AnnaSophia Robb for I Play Rocky (Amazon/MGM)
    Eva Victor for Behemoth! (Searchlight)

  • Best Adapted Screenplay

    Frontrunners
    1. Project Hail Mary (Amazon) — Drew Goddard
    2. The Invite (A24) — Rashida Jones & Will McCormack
    3. La Bola Negra (Netflix) — Javier Ambrossi, Javier Calvo & Alberto Conejero
    4. The Odyssey (Universal) — Christopher Nolan
    5. Ink (Netflix) — James Graham

    Major Threats
    6. Toy Story 5 (Disney/Pixar) — Kenna Harris & Andrew Stanton
    7. Minotaur (MUBI) — Simon Lyashenko & Andrey Zvyagintsev
    8. All of a Sudden (Neon) — Ryusuke Hamaguchi & Léa Le Dimna
    9. Sense and Sensibility (Focus) — Diana Reid
    10. Late Fame (Magnolia) — Samy Burch

    Possibilities
    11. The Mosquito Bowl (Netflix) — Buzz Bissinger
    12. Tony (A24) — Todd Bartels, Lou Howe, Matt Johnson & Matthew Miller
    13. Being Heumann (Apple) — Sian Heder & Rebekah Taussig
    14. Pressure (Focus) — David Haig & Anthony Maras

    Long Shots
    15. Backrooms (A24) — Kane Parsons & Will Soodik
    16. Wuthering Heights (Warner Bros.) — Emerald Fennell — podcast
    17. Clarissa (Neon) — Chuko Esiri
    18. Primetime (A24) — Ajon Singh

    Still to See or Under Embargo
    Dune: Part Three (Warner Bros.) — Brian K. Vaughan & Denis Villeneuve — podcast [Villeneuve]
    The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth (Netflix) — Quentin Tarantino — podcast
    I Play Rocky (Amazon/MGM) — Peter Gamble Robinson
    The Social Reckoning (Sony) — Aaron Sorkin — podcast
    Wildwood (Laika) — Chris Butler

  • Best Original Screenplay

    Frontrunners
    1. Wild Horse Nine (Searchlight) — Martin McDonagh
    2. Tender Loving Care (Bleecker Street) — Mike Leigh — podcast
    3. Club Kid (A24) — Jordan Firstman
    4. Fjord (Neon) — Cristian Mungiu
    5. Obsession (Focus) — Curry Barker

    Major Threats
    6. The Debut (A24) — Jesse Eisenberg — podcast
    7. Paper Tiger (Neon) — James Gray — podcast
    8. The Only Living Pickpocket in New York (Sony Classics) — Noah Segan
    9. Elsinore (Focus) — Stephen Beresford
    10. Fatherland (MUBI) — Henk Handloegten & Paweł Pawlikowski

    Possibilities
    11. Tuner (Black Bear) — Robert Ramsey & Daniel Roher
    12. Michael (Lionsgate) — John Logan
    13. The Liberation (Bleecker Street) — Noa Berman-Herzberg & Guy Nattiv
    14. Ray Gunn (Netflix) — Brad Bird & Matthew Robbins

    Long Shots
    15. Coward (MUBI) — Lukas Dhont & Angelo Tijssens
    16. Josephine (Sumerian) — Beth de Araújo
    17. The Drama (A24) — Kristoffer Borgli
    18. Ha-Chan, Shake Your Booty! (Sony Classics) — Nicholas Huynh & Josef Kubota Wladyka

    Still to See or Under Embargo
    Artificial (Neon) — Simon Rich
    Behemoth! (Searchlight) — Tony Gilroy
    Bitter Christmas (Sony Classics) — Pedro Almodóvar — podcast
    The Christophers (Neon) — Ed Solomon
    DIGGER (Warner Bros.) — Sabina Berman, Alexander Dinelaris, Nicolás Giacobone & Alejandro González Iñarritu — podcast 1 and 2 (Iñárritu)
    I Love Boosters (Neon) — Boots Riley
    Madden (Amazon/MGM) — Cambron Clark & David O. Russell
    Misty Green (A24) — Chris Rock
    Mouse (IFC) — Kelly O’Sullivan
    Possible Love (Netflix) — Lee Chang-dong & Oh Jung-mi
    Werwulf (Focus) — Robert Eggers & Sjón

  • Best International Feature

    *confirmed submission

    Frontrunners
    1. Spain — La Bola Negra (Netflix, Oct. 16, THR review) CANN, TELL, TIFF, NYFF, LOND
    2. *Romania/Automatic entry via Cannes Film Festival’s Palme d’Or — Fjord (Neon, Oct. 9, THR review) CANN, KARL, TELL, TIFF, NYFF, LOND
    3. *Japan — All of a Sudden (Neon, Nov. 25, THR review) CANN, KARL, TIFF, NYFF, LOND
    4. France — Minotaur (MUBI, Nov. 20, THR review) CANN, TELL, TIFF, NYFF, LOND
    5. *Austria — Rose (MUBI, TBD, THR review) BERL, KARL, TELL, NYFF, LOND

    Major Threats
    6. Poland — Fatherland (MUBI, Oct. 23, THR review) CANN, KARL, TELL, NYFF, LOND
    7. *Belgium — Coward (MUBI, Dec. 25, THR review) CANN, KARL, TIFF, LOND
    8. Spain — The Beloved (Kino Lorber, TBD, THR review) CANN, KARL, TIFF, LOND

    Still to See or Under Embargo
    *Automatic entry via Berlin Film Festival’s Golden Bear — Yellow Letters (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD, THR review) BERL, KARL
    *Automatic entry via Sundance Film Festival’s World Cinema Grand Jury Prize (Dramatic) — Shame and Money (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD, THR review) SUND
    *Armenia — In the Land of Arto (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) LOCA (’25)
    *Australia — First Light (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD)
    *Bolivia — The Condor Daughter (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) TIFF (’25)
    *Cambodia — Becoming Human (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) VENI (’25), LOND (’25)
    *Canada — Nina Roza (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD, THR review) BERL
    *Chile — The Meltdown (Kino Lorber, TBD, THR review) CANN
    *Colombia — Rains Over Babel (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) SUND (’25)
    *Croatia — God Will Not Help (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) LOCA (’25)
    *Cyprus — Hold onto Me (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) SUND
    *Czech Republic — If Pigeons Turned to Gold (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) BERL, KARL
    *Dominican Republic — Melodrama (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD)
    *Ecuador — The Ivy (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) VENI (’25)
    *Estonia — Our Erika (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD)
    *Finland — The Squirrel (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD)
    France — La Gradiva (1-2 Special, Dec. 18, THR review) TIFF, NYFF, LOND
    France — The Unknown (Neon, TBD, THR review) CANN, KARL, TELL, TIFF, NYFF, LOND
    *Georgia — Guria (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) VENI
    *Germany — Everytime (1-2 Special, TBD, THR review) CANN, TIFF, NYFF, LOND
    *Greece — Broken Vein (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD)
    Hungary — Moulin (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD, THR review) CANN
    *Iceland — The Ground Beneath Our Feet (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD)
    *Iraq — No Paradise If You Are Killed by a Woman (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) VENI
    *Ireland — Aontas (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD)
    *Israel — Tell Me Everything (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) SUND
    *Kosovo — Dua (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) CANN
    *Kyrgyzstan — Kassandra (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD)
    *Latvia — Ulya (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) CANN
    *Lithuania — How to Divorce During the War (Kino Lorber, Aug. 21) SUND, KARL
    *Luxembourg — Child (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD)
    *Mexico — On the Road (Strand, Oct. 28, THR review) VENI (’25)
    *Morocco — Strawberries (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) CANN
    *North Macedonia — 17 (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) BERL
    *Norway — Growth of the Soil (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) TIFF
    *Palestine — Citizen Osama (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) VENI
    *Peru — Night Has Come (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) KARL (’25)
    *Serbia — Wanderlust (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD)
    *Slovakia — Flood (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD)
    *Slovenia — Fantasy (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) LOCA (’25)
    *South Korea — Possible Love (Netflix, Oct. 23) VENI, TIFF, NYFF, LOND
    Spain — Bitter Christmas (Sony Classics, TBD, THR review) CANN, KARL, TIFF, NYFF
    Spain — A Woman’s Life (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD, THR review) CANN
    *Sweden — Adult Supervision (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD)
    *Switzerland — Who Is Still Alive (Watermelon, TBD) VENI (’25), LOCA
    *Taiwan — A Foggy Tale (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD)
    *Thailand — 9 Temples to Heaven (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) CANN, NYFF, LOND
    *Turkey — Like a Limbless Tree (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD)
    *Uruguay — A Loose End (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) VENI (’25)
    Venezuela — It Would Be Night in Caracas (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) VENI (’25), TIFF (’25)

  • Best Documentary Feature

    Frontrunners
    1. Once Upon a Time in Harlem (Neon, Oct. 16, THR review) — David Greaves & William Greaves SUND, CANN, TELL, TIFF, NYFF, LOND
    2. American Doctor (Watermelon, Aug. 14, THR review) — Poh Si Teng SUND
    3. One in a Million (Frontline, Oct. 21, THR review) — Itab Azzam & Jack MacInnes SUND
    4. Musk (Bleecker Street, Oct. 16) — Alex Gibney — podcast VENI, TIFF, LOND
    5. My Undesirable Friends: Part II – Exile (MUBI, Oct. 30) — Julia Loktev VENI, TELL, NYFF, LOND

    Major Threats
    6. Rehearsals for a Revolution (Sony Classics, TBD, THR review) — Pegah Ahangarani CANN, KARL, TELL, TIFF
    7. Everest: The Other Side (Nat Geo, Oct. 30) — Jimmy Chin & Elizabeth Chai Vasarhelyi VENI, TELL, TIFF, LOND
    8. The Last First: Winter K2 (Apple, TBD) — Amir Bar-Lev SUND, KARL
    9. Avedon (Netflix, TBD, THR review) — Ron Howard CANN
    10. The Trial of Alec Baldwin (Abramorama, Oct. 1) — Rory Kennedy DNYC
    11. Give Me the Ball! (ESPN, TBD, THR review) — Liz Garbus & Elizabeth Wolff SUND
    12. Cookie Queens (Roadside, Aug. 7, THR review) — Alysa Nahmias SUND
    13. Nuisance Bear (MUBI, TBD, THR review) — Gabriela Osio Vanden & Jack Weisman SUND
    14. Ash and Crayons (Briarcliff, TBD) — Evgeny Afineevsky
    15. Maverick: The Epic Adventures of David Lean (self-distributed, TBD, THR review) — Barnaby Thompson CANN

    Possibilities
    16. You Can See Everything (A24, Oct. 16, THR review) — Nathan Fielder & Lance Oppenheim TELL, NYFF
    17. Everybody to Kenmure Street (Icarus, May 22) — Felipe Bustos Sierra SUND
    18. Barbara Forever (Strand, Sept. 4) — Brydie O’Connor SUND, BERL
    19. Union Town (self-distributed, TBD, THR review) — Barbara Kopple VENI, TIFF
    20. Boorman and the Devil (self-distributed, Aug. 28, THR review) — David Kittredge VENI (’25)
    21. Soul Patrol (Kino Lorber, TBD, THR review) — J.M. Harper SUND
    22. Steal This Story, Please! (self-distributed, April 10) — Tia Lessin and Carl Deal TELL (’25), DNYC (’25)
    23. Free Leonard Peltier (self-distributed, TBD, THR review) — David France and Jesse Short Bull SUND (’25)
    24. The Last Guest of the Holloway Motel (self-distributed, May 22) — Nicholas Freeman & Motel Ramiel Petros TRIB (’25)
    25. Seized (self-distributed, TBD, THR review) — Sharon Liese SUND
    26. The Cycle of Love (Variance, Aug. 28) — Orlando von Einsiedel TELL (’25)
    27. Time and Water (Nat Geo, May 29) — Sara Dosa SUND, SXSW
    28. Jane Elliott Against the World (Independent Lens, TBD) — Judd Ehrlich SUND

    Long Shots
    29. The History of Concrete (Magnolia, Sept. 18, THR review) — John Wilson SUND, KARL, LOND
    30. Peter Asher: Everywhere Man (self-distributed, June 19, THR review) — Dan Geller & Dayna Goldfine TELL (’25)
    31. Public Access (self-distributed, TBD, THR review) — David Shadrack Smith SUND
    32. The Eyes of Ghana (self-distributed) — Ben Proudfoot TIFF (’25), AFI (’25)
    33. Birds of War (self-distributed, TBD) — Janay Boulos & Abd Alkader Habak SUND
    34. The Match (self-distributed, TBD) — Juan Cabral & Santiago Franco CANN, KARL
    35. A Child of My Own (Netflix, Aug. 7, THR review) — Maite Alberdi BERL
    36. Knife: The Attempted Murder of Salman Rushdie (Abramorama, Sept. 17, THR review) — Alex Gibney — podcast SUND
    37. Ask E. Jean (Abramorama, May 22, THR review) — Ivy Meeropol TELL (’25)
    38. The Oldest Person in the World (self-distributed, Sept. 10) — Sam Green SUND, SXSW
    39. Lumiere, Le Cinema! (Janus, April 25) — Thierry Fremaux TELL (’25)
    40. Robert Richardson: The White Devil (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) — Jana Hojdová KARL
    41. Linda Perry: Let It Die Here (Evan Saxon Productions, May 8) — Don Hardy TRIB (’24)

    Read more ‘Back to Buenos Aires’ Review: A Brooding Drama Revisits the Violent Days of Argentina’s Dictatorship, and the Traumas That Remained in Its Wake

    Still to See or Under Embargo
    14th (Netflix, Nov. 27) — Ava DuVernay — podcast NYFF, LOND
    The AI Doc: Or How I Became an Apocaloptimist (Focus, March 27, THR review) — Daniel Roher & Charlie Tyrell SUND, SXSW
    American Pachuco: The Legend of Luis Valdez (PBS, July 17, THR review) — David Alvarado SUND
    Baby Doe (self-distributed, July 10, THR review) — Jessica Earnshaw SXSW
    The Best Summer (self-distributed, TBD) — Tamra Davis SUND
    Burgundy (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) — Michael Dweck & Gregory Kershaw VENI, TELL
    Carl Sagan: We Are Made of Star Stuff (Nat Geo, TBD) — Nanette Burstein TELL
    Dangerous Citizen: The Life and Times of Abraham Polonsky (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) — Steven C. Smith LOCA
    Dernsie: The Amazing Life of Bruce Dern (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD, THR review) — Mike Mendez CANN
    The Disciple: A Wu-Tang Fable (Netflix, Oct. 9, THR review) — Joanna Natasegara SUND, TELL
    An Eye for an Eye (Jolt.film, Aug. 12, THR review) — Tanaz Eshaghian & Farzad Jafari TRIB
    A Face Under a Pink Moon (Kino Lorber, TBD) — Soraya Akhlaghi & Mehrdad Oskouei
    Freefall: A Reckoning for Boeing (Netflix, Aug. 14) — Rory Kennedy
    From Dust We Spin (self-distributed, TBD) — Julia Jansch
    From Inside Out — The Architecture of Peter Zumthor (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) — Wim Wenders — podcast VENI
    If These Walls Could Rock (self-distributed, TBD, THR review) — Tyler Measom & Craig A. Williams DNYC
    The Illusion of an Everlasting Summer (MUBI, TBD, THR review) — Alessandra Sanguinetti LOCA
    Jean-Michel Basquiat (Netflix, TBD) — Viridiana Lieberman & Quinn Wilson TRIB
    The Lake (self-distributed, TBD) — Abby Ellis SUND
    Making Marie Antoinette (MUBI, Oct. 23) — Eleanor Coppola TELL, NYFF, LOND
    Mary Oliver: Saved by the Beauty of the World (Kino Lorber, July 3, THR review) — Sasha Waters Freyer
    My NDA (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) — Elizabeth Woodward SXSW
    Naza (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD, THR review) — Yuval Abraham and Rachel Szor VENI, NYFF
    Pete Townshend: Behind Blue Eyes (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) — Frank Marshall & Nigel Sinclair — podcast (Marshall) TELL
    The Row (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) — Bryan Fogel — podcast TELL
    Standout: The Ben Kjar Story (self-distributed, TBD) — Tanner Christensen
    To Hold a Mountain (Submarine Deluxe, TBD) — Petar Glomazić & Biljana Tutorov SUND, LOND
    Who Is Still Alive (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) — Nicolas Wadimoff VENI

  • Best Animated Feature

    Frontrunners
    1. Toy Story 5 (Disney/Pixar, June 19, THR review) — Andrew Stanton
    2. Ray Gunn (Netflix, TBD) — Brad Bird LOND
    3. Iron Boy (Sony Classics, TBD, THR review) — Louis Clichy CANN, TIFF, NYFF, LOND
    4. In Waves (Netflix, TBD, THR review) — Phuong Mai Nguyen CANN, ANNE, TIFF
    5. Tangles (IFC, TBD, THR review) — Leah Nelson CANN, ANNE, TIFF

    Still to See or Under Embargo
    The Cat in the Hat (Warner Bros., Nov. 6) — Alessandro Carloni & Erica Rivinoja
    Forgotten Island (Universal/Dreamworks, Sept. 25) — Joel Crawford & Januel Mercado ANNE
    Hexed (Disney, Nov. 25) — Jason Hand & Josie Trinidad
    Hoppers (Disney/Pixar, March 6, THR review) — Daniel Chong
    Jim Queen (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBA) — Nicolas Athane & Marco Nguyen CANN
    Julián (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) — Louise Bagnall ANNE, TIFF, LOND
    Lucy Lost (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) — Oliver Clert CANN, ANNE
    Minions & Monsters (Universal, July 1, THR review) ANNE
    The Ribbon Hero (Netflix, Aug. 8) — Yuki Igarashi ANNE
    Shaun the Sheep: The Beast of Mossy Bottom (GKIDS, Sept. 18) — Steve Cox & Matthew Walker
    Steps (Netflix, TBD) — John Ripa & Alyce Tzue
    Le Vertige (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) — Quentin Dupieux CANN
    The Violinist (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBD) — Raul Garcia & Ervin Han ANNE, TIFF
    Viva Carmen! (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBA) — Sébastien Laudenbach CANN, ANNE, KARL, LOCA, TIFF
    We Are Aliens (still seeking U.S. distribution, TBA) — Kohei Kadowaki CANN, ANNE
    Wildwood (Laika, Oct. 23) — Travis Knight LOND, AFI

  • Best Original Song

    Frontrunners
    1. “I Knew It, I Knew You” from Toy Story 5 (Disney/Pixar) — Jack Antonoff & Taylor Swift
    2. “La nieve” from La Bola Negra (Netflix) — Guitarricadelafuente & Raül Refree
    3. “Let Me Sell You a Dream” from Musk (Bleecker Street) — David Byrne & Daniel Pemberton — podcast (Byrne)
    4. “This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn’t Spit Me Out)” from The Debut — Jesse Eisenberg — podcast
    5. “On Video” from Primetime (A24) — Jack Antonoff, Phoebe Bridgers & Christian Lee

    Major Threats
    6. “When I’m Home” from The Odyssey (Universal) — James Blake, Ludwig Göransson, Christopher Nolan & Travis Scott
    7. “What Lies with You” from Linda Perry: Let It Die Here (Evan Saxon Productions) — Linda Perry
    8. “Shape of a Woman” from The Devil Wears Prada 2 (20th Century) — Stefani Germanotta [Lady Gaga], Mike Lévy [Gesaffelstein], Henry Walter [Cirkut] & Andrew Watt — podcast [Lady Gaga]

    Still to Come or Under Embargo
    “Along the Way” from Moana (Disney) — Lin-Manuel Miranda — podcast
    “Bottle Up” from Paw Patrol: The Dino Movie (Paramount) — Backstreet Boys
    “By Any Means” from By Any Means (Paramout) — Diane Warren — podcast 1 and 2
    “A Parallel World” from Forgotten Island (Universal/Dreamworks) — BINI
    “Save the Day” from Hoppers (Disney/Pixar) — SZA, Rob Bisel & Ben Lovett
    “One Right Here” from Maserati: The Brothers (Magenta Light) — Diane Warren — podcast 1 and 2

  • Best Original Score

    Frontrunners
    1. The Odyssey (Universal) — Ludwig Göransson
    2. Project Hail Mary (Amazon/MGM) — Daniel Pemberton
    3. Wild Horse Nine (Searchlight) — Carter Burwell
    4. Toy Story 5 (Disney/Pixar) — Randy Newman — podcast
    5. Disclosure Day (Universal) — John Williams

    Major Threats
    6. La Bola Negra (Netflix) — Raül Refree
    7. Ink (Netflix) — Daniel Pemberton
    8. You Can See Everything (A24) — Ari Balouzian
    9. Tender Loving Care (Bleecker Street) — Gary Yershon
    10. Ray Gunn (Netflix) — Michael Giacchino
    11. Spider-Man: Brand New Day (Sony) — Michael Giacchino
    12. The Mandalorian and Grogu (Disney) — Ludwig Göransson
    13. Obsession (Focus) — Rock Burwell
    14. Tenzing (Apple) — Rebekka Karijord
    15. Elsinore (Focus) — Stefan Gregory

    Possibilities
    16. Minotaur (MUBI) — Evgueni Galperine & Sacha Galperine
    17. The Mosquito Bowl (Netflix) — Explosions in the Sky (Chris Hrasky, Michael James, Munaf Rayani & Mark Smith)
    18. Club Kid (A24) — Cristobal Tapia de Veer
    19. The Debut (A24) — Emile Mosseri
    20. Bunker (Sony Classics) — Volker Bertelmann
    21. Pressure (Focus) — Volker Bertelmann
    22. The Sheep Detectives (Amazon/MGM) — Christophe Beck
    23. Masters of the Universe (Amazon/MGM) — Daniel Pemberton
    24. Sense and Sensibility (Focus) — Roger Goula
    25. Supergirl (Warner Bros.) — Claudia Sarne
    26. The Drama (A24) — Daniel Pemberton
    27. Backrooms (A24) — Kane Parsons & Edo Van Breemen
    28. Coward (MUBI) — Valentin Hadjadj
    29. Being Heumann (Apple) — Francesco Le Metre

    Long Shots
    30. Primetime (A24) — Ari Balouzian
    31. Fjord (Neon) — Kaspar Kaae
    32. Paper Tiger (Neon) — Christopher Spelman
    33. The Invite (A24) — Devonté Hynes
    34. Tony (A24) — Jay McCarrol
    35. Tuner (Black Bear) — Will Bates
    36. Josephine (Sumerian) — Miles Ross
    37. All of a Sudden (Neon) — Samuel Andreyev
    38. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (Universal) — Brian Tyler
    39. The Dog Stars (20th Century) — Harry Gregson-Williams
    40. By Any Means (Paramount) — Terence Blanchard
    41. Practical Magic 2 (Warner Bros.) — Rupert Gregson-Williams

    Still to See or Under Embargo
    Artificial (Neon) — Damon Albarn
    Behemoth! (Searchlight) — Michael Abels, Emily Bear, Lukas Frank, Michael Giacchino, James Newton Howard, Henry Jackman, Nami Melumad, Brandon Roberts & Alan Silvestri
    Bitter Christmas (Sony Classics) — Alberto Iglesias
    DIGGER (Warner Bros.) — Cosmo Sheldrake
    Dune: Part Three (Warner Bros.) — Hans Zimmer — podcast
    Ebenezer (Paramount) — Tyler Bates
    The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth (Netflix) — Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross
    I Play Rocky (Amazon/MGM) — Dave Palmer
    The Social Reckoning (Sony) — Alexandre Desplat
    Werwulf (Focus) — Robin Carolan

  • Best Casting

    Frontrunners
    1. The Odyssey (Universal) — John Papsidera
    2. Wild Horse Nine (Searchlight) — Sarah Finn
    3. La Bola Negra (Netflix) — Eva Leira & Yolanda Serrano
    4. Club Kid (A24) — Carmen Cuba
    5. Tender Loving Care (Bleecker Street) — Nina Gold

    Major Threats
    6. Project Hail Mary (Amazon/MGM) — Nicola Abellera Hallman & Jeanne McCarthy
    7. Being Heumann (Apple) — Adam Caldwell & Bernard Telsey
    8. Obsession (Focus) — Skyler Zurn
    9. Elsinore (Focus) — Jessica Ronane
    10. Michael (Lionsgate) — Victoria Thomas
    11. Fjord (Neon) — Hannah Chocron Foldøy & Abhinav Singh

    Possibilities
    12. Sense and Sensibility (Focus) — Kharmel Cochrane
    13. All of a Sudden (Neon) — Coralie Amedeo
    14. The Mosquito Bowl (Netflix) — Rachel Tenner
    15. Tony (A24) — Chelsea Ellis Bloch & Marisol Roncali
    16. Primetime (A24) — Francine Maisler & Molly Rose
    17. Fatherland (MUBI) — Nina Haun, Karen Lindsay-Stewart & Magdalena Szwarcbart

    Long Shots
    18. The Debut (A24) — Douglas Aibel
    19. Paper Tiger (Neon) — Douglas Aibel
    20. Ink (Netflix) — Rebecca Farhall & Gail Stevens
    21. Minotaur (MUBI) — Anastasia Smekalova
    22. Coward (MUBI) — Sebastian Moradiellos
    23. Tenzing (Apple) — Nikki Barrett, Danny Long & Sanjeev Maurya

    Still to See or Under Embargo
    Artificial (Neon) — Jessica Ronane
    Behemoth! (Searchlight) — Carmen Cuba
    DIGGER (Warner Bros.) — Francine Maisler
    Dune: Part Three (Warner Bros.) — Francine Maisler
    The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth (Netflix) — Laray Mayfield
    I Play Rocky (Amazon/MGM) — Rick Montgomery
    The Social Reckoning (Sony) — Francine Maisler & Molly Rose

  • Best Cinematography

    Frontrunners
    1. The Odyssey (Universal) — Hoyte van Hoytema
    2. Project Hail Mary (Amazon/MGM) — Greig Fraser
    3. Fatherland (MUBI) — Lukasz Zal
    4. Wild Horse Nine (Searchlight) — Ben Davis
    5. La Bola Negra (Netflix, 10/16) — Gris Jordana

    Major Threats
    6. Rose (MUBI) — Gerald Kerkletz
    7. Michael (Lionsgate) — Dion Beebe
    8. Ink (Netflix) — Alwin H. Küchler
    9. Sense and Sensibility (Focus) — Arnaud Potier
    10. All of a Sudden (Neon) — Alan Guichaoua
    11. Disclosure Day (Universal) — Janusz Kaminski

    Possibilities
    12. Coward (MUBI) — Frank van den Eeden
    13. The Mosquito Bowl (Netflix) — Jacques Jouffret
    14. Tenzing (Apple) — Stefan Duscio
    15. Backrooms (A24) — Jeremy Cox
    16. Club Kid (A24) — Adam Newport-Berra

    Long Shots
    17. Fjord (Neon) — Tudor Vladimir Panduru
    18. The Invite (A24) — Adam Newport-Berra
    19. Obsession (Focus) — Taylor Clemons
    20. Elsinore (Focus) — Mike Eley
    21. The Debut (A24) — Drew Daniels
    22. Paper Tiger (Neon) — Joaquin Baca-Asay

    Still to See or Under Embargo
    Alone at Dawn (Amazon/MGM) — Salvatore Totino
    Artificial (Neon) — Malik Hassan Sayeed
    Behemoth! (Searchlight) — Damián García
    DIGGER (Warner Bros.) — Emmanuel Lubezki
    Dune: Part Three (Warner Bros.) — Linus Sandgren
    The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth (Netflix) — Erik Messerschmidt
    Heart of the Beast (Paramount) — Mauro Fiore
    Hope (Neon) — Hong Kyung-pyo
    I Play Rocky (Amazon/MGM) — Sean Porter
    Madden (Amazon/MGM) — Robert Richardson — podcast
    The Social Reckoning (Sony) — Jeff Cronenweth
    Werwulf (Focus) — Jarin Blaschke

  • Best Costume Design


    Frontrunners
    1. The Odyssey (Universal) — Ellen Mirojnick
    2. Project Hail Mary (Amazon/MGM) — David Crossman & Glyn Dillon
    3. La Bola Negra (Netflix) — Ana López Cobos
    4. Sense and Sensibility (Focus) — Grace Snell
    5. Coward (MUBI) — Isabel Van Renterghem

    Major Threats
    6. Rose (MUBI) — Doris Bartelt
    7. Fatherland (MUBI) — Ola Staszko
    8. Wild Horse Nine (Searchlight) — Eimer Ní Mhaoldomhnaigh
    9. Ink (Netflix) — Carson McColl & Gareth Pugh

    Possibilities
    10. Michael (Lionsgate) — Marci Rodgers
    11. The Mosquito Bowl (Netflix) — Liz McGregor
    12. The Debut (A24) — Stacey Battat
    13. Elsinore (Focus) — Mel Page

    Long Shots
    14. Tenzing (Apple) — Kirsty Cameron
    15. Paper Tiger (Neon) — Amy Roth
    16. Fjord (Neon) — Mircea Olteanu

    Still to See or Under Embargo
    Alone at Dawn (Amazon/MGM) — Denise Wingate
    Artificial (Neon) — Marco Costa
    Behemoth! (Searchlight) — Mary Zophres
    DIGGER (Warner Bros.) — Jacqueline West
    Dune: Part Three (Warner Bros.) — Jacqueline West
    Ebenezer (Paramount) — Catherine George
    The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth (Netflix) — Trish Summerville
    I Play Rocky (Amazon/MGM) — Amy Roth
    Madden (Amazon/MGM) — Madeline Weeks
    Werwulf (Focus) — Linda Muir

  • Best Film Editing

    Frontrunners
    1. The Odyssey (Universal) — Jennifer Lame
    2. Wild Horse Nine (Searchlight) — Mikkel E.G. Nielsen
    3. Project Hail Mary (Amazon/MGM) — Joel Negron
    4. La Bola Negra (Netflix, 10/16) — Alberto Gutiérrez
    5. Michael (Lionsgate) — Conrad Buff, Tom Cross, John Ottman & Harry Yoon

    Major Threats
    6. The Invite (A24) — Anthony Boys & Yorgos Mavropsaridis
    7. Ink (Netflix) — Fin Oates
    8. Fatherland (MUBI) — Paweł Pawlikowski & Piotr Wójcikr
    9. Club Kid (A24) — Taylor Levy & Sofía Subercaseaux
    10. The Mosquito Bowl (Netflix) — Garret Donnelly & Jon Otazua
    11. Fjord (Neon) — Mircea Olteanu

    Possibilities
    12. Elsinore (Focus) — Valerio Bonelli
    13. The Debut (A24) — Robert Nassau
    14. Obsession (Focus) — Curry Barker
    15. Minotaur (MUBI) — TBD
    16. Coward (MUBI) — Alain Dessauvage
    17. Paper Tiger (Neon) — Scott Morris

    Long Shots
    18. You Can See Everything (A24) — Adam Locke-Norton
    19. Backrooms (A24) — Greg Ng
    20. Sense and Sensibility (Focus) — Izabella Curry
    22. Tenzing (Apple) — Simon Njoo
    23. Disclosure Day (Universal) — Sarah Broshar

    Still to See or Under Embargo
    Alone at Dawn (Amazon/MGM) — Cam McLauchlin
    Artificial (Neon) — Marco Costa
    Behemoth! (Searchlight) — John Gilroy
    DIGGER (Warner Bros.) — Stephen Mirrione & Conor O’Neill
    Dune: Part Three (Warner Bros.) — Joe Walker
    The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth (Netflix) — Trish Summerville — Kirk Baxter
    I Play Rocky (Amazon/MGM) — Sam Seig
    Madden (Amazon/MGM) — Alan Baumgarten & Jon Poll
    The Social Reckoning (Sony) — Alan Baumgarten
    Werwulf (Focus) — Louise Ford

  • Best Makeup & Hairstyling

    Frontrunners
    1. The Odyssey (Universal) — Luisa Abel & Gloria Pasqua Casey
    2. Michael (Lionsgate) — Bill Corso & Carla Farmer
    3. La Bola Negra (Netflix) — Pablo Morillas & Mariló Osuna
    4. Obsession (Focus) — Katie Oja & Allie Shehorn
    5. The Mosquito Bowl (Netflix) — Angela Conte

    Major Threats
    6. Project Hail Mary (Amazon/MGM) — Candice Banks
    7. Coward (MUBI) — Evalotte Oosterop
    8. Elsinore (Focus) — Nadia Stacey

    Possibilities
    9. Ink (Netflix) — Zoe Clare Brown
    10. Wild Horse Nine (Searchlight) — Emma Scott
    11. Pressure (Focus) — Zoe Clare Brown

    Long Shots
    12. Paper Tiger (Neon) — Christopher Fulton, Jodi King & Todd Kleitsch
    13. Moana (Disney) — TBD

    Still to See or Under Embargo
    Artificial (Neon) — Massimo Gattabrusi & Fernanda Perez
    The Debut (A24) — Jamie Amadio & Sarah S. Graalman
    DIGGER (Warner Bros.) — Kazu Hiro
    Dune: Part Three (Warner Bros.) — Heike Merker
    Ebenezer (Paramount) — TBD
    The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth (Netflix) — Trish Summerville
    I Play Rocky (Amazon/MGM) — Nakoya Yancey
    Madden (Amazon/MGM) — Ellen Arden & Andrew Bell
    The Social Reckoning (Sony) — Zabrina Matiru
    Werwulf (A24) — Christine Blundell

  • Best Production Design

    Frontrunners
    1. The Odyssey (Universal) — Ruth De Jong
    2. Project Hail Mary (Amazon/MGM) — Charles Wood
    3. La Bola Negra (Netflix, 10/16) — Roger Bellés
    4. Fatherland (MUBI) — Marcel Slawinski & Katarzyna Sobanska
    5. Backrooms (A24) — Danny Vermette

    Major Threats
    6. Michael (Lionsgate) — Barbara Ling
    7. Wild Horse Nine (Searchlight) — Denis Schnegg
    8. Sense and Sensibility (Focus) — Francesca Di Mottola
    9. Ink (Netflix) — Carson McColl & Gareth Pugh
    10. The Invite (A24) — Jade Healy
    11. Club Kid (A24) — Stephen Phelps
    12. You Can See Everything (A24) — Alex DiGerlando

    Possibilities
    13. The Mosquito Bowl (Netflix) — Philip Ivey
    14. Tenzing (Apple) — Melinda Doring
    15. Being Heumann (Apple) — John P. Goldsmith
    16. Coward (MUBI) — Eve Martin
    17. Disclosure Day (Universal) — Adam Stockhausen
    18. Bunker (Sony Classics) — Alain Bainée
    19. Elsinore (Focus) — Helen Scott

    Long Shots
    20. All of a Sudden (Neon) — Mila Preli
    21. Fjord (Neon) — Marius Winje Brustad
    22. Obsession (Focus) — Vivian Gray
    23. The Debut (A24) — Anne Ross & Amy Silver
    24. Tuner (Black Bear) — Peter Cosco
    25. Paper Tiger (Neon) — Happy Massee
    26. Rose (MUBI) — Olivier Meidinger
    27. Tony (A24) — Ryan Warren Smith

    Still to See or Under Embargo
    Alone at Dawn (Amazon/MGM) — Peter Wenham
    Artificial (Neon) — Stefano Baisi
    Behemoth! (Searchlight) — Jade Healy
    DIGGER (Warner Bros.) — Dennis Gassner
    Dune: Part Three (Warner Bros.) — Patrice Vermette
    Ebenezer (Paramount) — Eve Stewart
    The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth (Netflix) — Donald Graham Burt
    I Play Rocky (Amazon/MGM) — Anthony Gasparro
    Madden (Amazon/MGM) — David J. Bomba & Sean Ryan Jennings
    The Social Reckoning (Sony) — Jon Hutman
    Werwulf (Focus) — Craig Lathrop
    Whalefall (20th Century) — Ramsey Avery

  • Best Sound

    Frontrunners
    1. The Odyssey (Universal)
    2. Project Hail Mary (Amazon/MGM)
    3. Michael (Lionsgate)
    4. La Bola Negra (Netflix)
    5. The Mosquito Bowl (Netflix)

    Major Threats
    6. Tenzing (Apple)
    7. Backrooms (A24)
    8. Spider-Man: Brand New Day (Sony)
    9. Toy Story 5 (Disney/Pixar)
    10. Wild Horse Nine (Searchlight)

    Possibilities
    11. The Debut (A24)
    12. The Mandalorian and Grogu (Disney)
    13. Ink (Netflix)
    14. Disclosure Day (Universal)
    15. Obsession (Focus)

    Long Shots
    16. Moana (Disney)
    17. Supergirl (Warner Bros.)
    18. Masters of the Universe (Amazon/MGM)
    19. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (Universal)

    Still to See or Under Embargo
    Alone at Dawn (Amazon/MGM)
    Behemoth! (Searchlight)
    DIGGER (Warner Bros.)
    Dune: Part Three (Warner Bros.)
    The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth (Netflix)
    I Play Rocky (Amazon/MGM)
    Madden (Amazon/MGM)
    The Social Reckoning (Sony)
    Undertone (A24)
    Werwulf (Focus)
    Whalefall (20th Century)

  • Best Visual Effects

    Frontrunners
    1. Project Hail Mary (Amazon/MGM)
    2. The Odyssey (Universal)
    3. La Bola Negra (Netflix)
    4. Spider-Man: Brand New Day (Sony)
    5. The Mosquito Bowl (Netflix)

    Major Threats
    6. The Mandalorian and Grogu (Disney)
    7. Backrooms (A24)
    8. Disclosure Day (Universal)

    Possibilities
    9. Tenzing (Apple)
    10. Moana (Disney)
    11. The Sheep Detectives (Amazon/MGM)

    Long Shots
    12. Supergirl (Warner Bros.)
    13. Masters of the Universe (Amazon/MGM)

    Still to See or Under Embargo
    Alone at Dawn (Amazon/MGM)
    DIGGER (Warner Bros.)
    Dune: Part Three (Warner Bros.)
    Godzilla Minus Zero (GKIDS)
    Hope (Neon)
    I Play Rocky (Amazon/MGM)
    Street Fighter (Paramount)
    Werwulf (Focus)
    Whalefall (20th Century)

  • Best Animated Short

    Top Contenders
    Apart — Pola Maneli
    Paper Trail — Don Hertzfeldt
    Living with a Visionary — Stephen P. Neary
    Daffy Season — Hamish Grieve & Todd Wilderman

  • Best Documentary Short

    Top Contenders
    The Baddest Speechwriter of All (Netflix) — Stephen Curry & Ben Proudfoot SUND
    They’re Here — Rachel Muller & Laura Poitras VENI
    New York Never Let Me Down — Charlotte Wells NYFF
    South of Tehran — Kleber Mendonça Filho NYFF
    Witt v. Air Force — Ben Proudfoot
    The Buffalo Miracle — Ben Proudfoot
    The Ship That Turned Back — Allie Light
    Room of the Absolute — Elizabeth Baudouin & Natalie Shirinian
    The Boys and the Bees — Arielle Knight SUND
    The Vanishing Song — Ruby Yang
    The Second Life of Freddie Nole — Dana Nachman
    Oh Whale —Winslow Crane-Murdoch
    Panther Pat — Ash Brandon
    The Grandfather Puzzle — Ora DeKornfeld

  • Best Live Action Short

    Top Contenders
    Flesh Impact — Maggie Gyllenhaal VENI
    Candy Bar — Nash Egerton SUND
    Jazz Infernal — Will Niava SUND
    Crisis Actor — Lily Platt SUND
    Odessa — Harald Swinkels
    Power Trip — Patrick Willems
    Magan’s Fare — Christopher Knoblock & Dana White
    I Will Be Alright — Cyrus Neshvad
    Mary the Widow — Ryan Noufer
    Callback — Matthew Puccini
    This Is Private — LeAndre Thomas
    Lightning Bug — Zane Pais

    Read more In ‘Magazine’, Director Alexandra Pechman Brings a Bygone Era of Print Media (and the 2010s) to TIFF Audiences

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